Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 29
VPS vs Inter Turku
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS host Inter Turku on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Veikkausliiga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VPS 37%, draw 29%, Inter Turku 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VPS €186K, Inter Turku €250K.
- Home advantage makes VPS the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Veikkausliiga: R. Ivanov is the highest-rated defender (1674).
- Style contrast in attacking (Veikkausliiga): VPS rank #8 of 10, Inter Turku #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VPS goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: VPS 1446 · Inter Turku 1525
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1510
Inter Turku · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1674
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VPS
6th in Veikkausliiga · 33 pts from 22
- 18 OctLKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1433
- 12 OctWGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1393
- 8 OctLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1427
- 19 SepLKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1476
- 14 SepLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1499
Inter Turku
2nd in Veikkausliiga · 42 pts from 22
- 17 OctLAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1543
- 11 OctWKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1519
- 7 OctDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1550
- 18 SepWAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1535
- 14 SepWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1504
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VPS | 39 /28 | 44.1 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 6th |
| Inter Turku | 52 /28 | 57.7 | 33% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VPS: balanced profile (how Jussi Johan Nuorela plays) · Inter Turku: balanced profile (how Vesa-Pekka Vasara plays)