Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 31
VPS vs HJK Helsinki
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS host HJK Helsinki on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Veikkausliiga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VPS 32%, draw 29%, HJK Helsinki 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VPS €186K, HJK Helsinki €279K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Veikkausliiga): VPS rank #8 of 10, HJK Helsinki #1.
- HJK Helsinki are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VPS goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: VPS 1446 · HJK Helsinki 1584
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1510
HJK Helsinki · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1587
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VPS
6th in Veikkausliiga · 33 pts from 22
- 18 OctLKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1433
- 12 OctWGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1393
- 8 OctLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1427
- 19 SepLKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1476
- 14 SepLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1499
HJK Helsinki
3rd in Veikkausliiga · 37 pts from 22
- 17 OctWGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1545
- 12 OctWAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1536
- 8 OctWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1506
- 18 SepDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1531
- 13 SepDKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1507
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VPS | 39 /28 | 44.1 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 6th |
| HJK Helsinki | 51 /28 | 57.3 | 37% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VPS: balanced profile (how Jussi Johan Nuorela plays) · HJK Helsinki: possession-based (how Joonas Rantanen plays)