Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 9
Vizela vs Academica
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Vizela host Academica on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vizela 54%, draw 25%, Academica 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vizela €357K, Academica €216K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Segunda Liga matchday 9: 153 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vizela goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Vizela 1568 · Academica 1415
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Academica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1594
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vizela
8th in Segunda Liga · 11 pts from 7
- 10 OctLSporting CP B Liga Portugal 21574
- 14 SepDFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21555
- 6 SepWFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21567
- 29 AugWTorreense Liga Portugal 21544
- 16 AugLPortimonense Liga Portugal 21545
Academica
6th in Segunda Liga · 12 pts from 7
- 11 OctWUnião de Leiria Liga Portugal 21448
- 11 SepLBenfica B Liga Portugal 21361
- 5 SepLPenafiel Liga Portugal 21305
- 29 AugLLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21370
- 14 AugWFeirense Liga Portugal 21347
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela | 11 /7 | 51.2 | 7% | 34% | 2% | 3rd |
| Academica | 12 /7 | 42.4 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –