Serie A · Regular Season - 35
Vitoria vs RB Bragantino
Thu 19 Nov 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Barradao, Salvador
Vitoria host RB Bragantino on Thu 19 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vitoria 43%, draw 28%, RB Bragantino 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vitoria €1.9M, RB Bragantino €2.3M.
- Home advantage makes Vitoria the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vitoria goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Vitoria 1848 · RB Bragantino 1906
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vitoria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1946
RB Bragantino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1988
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vitoria
15th in Série A · 38 pts from 33
- 31 OctLCoritiba Brazil Serie A1837
- 24 OctDAtletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A1884
- 19 OctDCorinthians Brazil Serie A1885
- 11 OctLSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1884
- 7 OctWChapecoense-SC Brazil Serie A1893
RB Bragantino
8th in Série A · 47 pts from 34
- 2 NovWSantos Brazil Serie A1883
- 28 OctWChapecoense-SC Brazil Serie A1873
- 24 OctLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1897
- 18 OctDRemo Brazil Serie A1876
- 13 OctWCruzeiro Brazil Serie A1848
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 38 /33 | 44.1 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 17th |
| RB Bragantino | 47 /34 | 52.2 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vitoria: direct (how Ventura Jair plays) · RB Bragantino: balanced profile (how Vágner Mancini plays)