Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
Vitesse vs Jong AZ
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · GelreDome, Arnhem
Vitesse host Jong AZ on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vitesse 33%, draw 29%, Jong AZ 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vitesse €348K, Jong AZ €665K.
- Eerste Divisie: A. Natali is the highest-rated defender (1848).
- Only 0 of Jong AZ's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vitesse goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Vitesse 1624 · Jong AZ 1724
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vitesse · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1725
Jong AZ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vitesse
9th in Eerste Divisie · 18 pts from 13
- 2 NovDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1637
- 28 OctWVVV Venlo Netherlands KNVB Beker1590
- 23 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1631
- 16 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1583
- 9 OctLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1589
Jong AZ
10th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 13
- 30 OctLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1755
- 23 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1755
- 16 OctDVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1742
- 9 OctLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1732
- 18 SepWFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1683
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 18 /13 | 52.4 | <1% | 4% | 2% | 10th |
| Jong AZ | 17 /13 | 56.7 | 1% | 17% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vitesse: balanced profile (how Rüdiger Rehm plays) · Jong AZ: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Frank Peereboom plays)