Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
Vitesse vs Emmen
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · GelreDome, Arnhem
Vitesse host Emmen on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vitesse 35%, draw 29%, Emmen 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vitesse €345K, Emmen €358K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vitesse goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Vitesse 1622 · Emmen 1694
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vitesse · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1730
Emmen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1687
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vitesse
6th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 11
- 16 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1584
- 9 OctLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1589
- 3 OctDNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1638
- 26 SepLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1637
- 19 SepWJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1600
Emmen
4th in Eerste Divisie · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1685
- 9 OctWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1658
- 3 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1669
- 26 SepWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1631
- 18 SepLFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1686
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 17 /11 | 54.6 | 1% | 13% | 2% | 7th |
| Emmen | 22 /11 | 64.3 | 12% | 63% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vitesse: balanced profile (how Rüdiger Rehm plays) · Emmen: balanced profile (how Menno van Dam plays)