Serie B · Regular Season - 8
Virtus Entella vs Mantova
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Virtus Entella host Mantova on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Virtus Entella 33%, draw 29%, Mantova 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Virtus Entella €561K, Mantova €929K.
- Virtus Entella are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Virtus Entella goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Virtus Entella 1627 · Mantova 1749
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Virtus Entella · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1767
Mantova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1881
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Virtus Entella
10th in Serie B · 9 pts from 7
- 17 OctWPadova Italy Serie B1596
- 10 OctDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1681
- 19 SepDCremonese Italy Serie B1673
- 11 SepWPisa Italy Serie B1611
- 6 SepDVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1600
Mantova
2nd in Serie B · 14 pts from 7
- 17 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1801
- 11 OctWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1757
- 20 SepDPisa Italy Serie B1763
- 13 SepWSampdoria Italy Serie B1731
- 6 SepDCesena Italy Serie B1694
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 9 /7 | 46.0 | 0% | 3% | 20% | 17th |
| Mantova | 14 /7 | 60.3 | 2% | 49% | <1% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Virtus Entella: balanced profile (how Andrea Chiappella plays) · Mantova: possession-based (how Francesco Modesto plays)