La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Villarreal vs Espanyol
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Villarreal host Espanyol on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Villarreal 61%, draw 23%, Espanyol 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Villarreal €11.8M, Espanyol €5.1M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (La Liga): Villarreal rank #4 of 20, Espanyol #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Villarreal goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.5 pts
Team Elo: Villarreal 2181 · Espanyol 1992
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Villarreal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Good) · Elo 2305
Espanyol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1975
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Villarreal
12th in La Liga · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctDElche La Liga2148
- 13 OctWNapoli UEFA Champions League2151
- 10 OctLReal Madrid La Liga2193
- 20 SepWLevante La Liga2151
- 17 SepWMalaga La Liga2131
Espanyol
13th in La Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLAtletico Madrid La Liga1958
- 9 OctDMalaga La Liga1977
- 18 SepLElche La Liga1966
- 15 SepLRayo Vallecano La Liga1960
- 12 SepWOsasuna La Liga1934
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 9 /9 | 54.6 | 0% | 2% | <1% | 7th |
| Espanyol | 8 /9 | 41.6 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Villarreal: balanced profile (how Iñigo Pérez Soto plays) · Espanyol: direct (how José Manuel González Álvarez plays)