La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Villarreal 0–0 Elche
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
VillarrealTeam 2151
ElcheTeam 1889Match story
Villarreal · draw · ElcheBefore kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%
Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Villarreal 67% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 28'Federico Redondo Solari 2016 −2* for Marc Aguado 1996 +7
Elche:Federico Redondo Solari 2016 −2* for Marc Aguado 1996 +7 - 38'Gonzalo Villar 1973 +9
Elche:Gonzalo Villar 1973 +9 - 65'Fernando Niño Rodríguez 1922 +3 for Abiel Alessio Osorio 1722 +14
Elche:Fernando Niño Rodríguez 1922 +3 for Abiel Alessio Osorio 1722 +14 - 65'Tete Morente 1892 +2 for Lucas Cepeda 1782 +12
Elche:Tete Morente 1892 +2 for Lucas Cepeda 1782 +12 - 65'Martim Neto 1857 +4 for Thomas Lemar 1969 +17
Elche:Martim Neto 1857 +4 for Thomas Lemar 1969 +17 - Nathan-Dylan Saliba 2040 0 for Carlos Macià 1875 −8*66'
Villarreal:Nathan-Dylan Saliba 2040 0 for Carlos Macià 1875 −8* - Pape Gueye 2207 −2 for Tani Oluwaseyi 2067 −166'
Villarreal:Pape Gueye 2207 −2 for Tani Oluwaseyi 2067 −1 - Georges Mikautadze 2230 −2 for Santi Comesaña 2196 −1266'
Villarreal:Georges Mikautadze 2230 −2 for Santi Comesaña 2196 −12 - 71'Tete Morente 1892 +2
Elche:Tete Morente 1892 +2 - Gerard Moreno 2069 −6 for Ilias Akhomach Chakkour 2211 −475'
Villarreal:Gerard Moreno 2069 −6 for Ilias Akhomach Chakkour 2211 −4 - 75'Roy Revivo 2005 +9
Elche:Roy Revivo 2005 +9 - Alex Freeman 2125 −381'
Villarreal:Alex Freeman 2125 −3 - 83'Ruben Sanchez Saez 1887 +1 for Buba Sangaré 1651 +13*
Elche:Ruben Sanchez Saez 1887 +1 for Buba Sangaré 1651 +13* - Nizar El Jmili 1940 0 for Ayoze Pérez 2102 −784'
Villarreal:Nizar El Jmili 1940 0 for Ayoze Pérez 2102 −7 - 90+1'Víctor Chust 1991 +9
Elche:Víctor Chust 1991 +9 - Juan Foyth 2195 −1590+1'
Villarreal:Juan Foyth 2195 −15
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%(Villarreal · draw · Elche)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 0–0 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Villarreal €10.4M, Elche €3.2M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Villarreal
11th in La Liga · 8 pts from 8
- 13 OctWNapoli UEFA Champions League2151
- 10 OctLReal Madrid La Liga2193
- 20 SepWLevante La Liga2151
- 17 SepWMalaga La Liga2131
- 14 SepLReal Betis La Liga2150
Elche
18th in La Liga · 6 pts from 8
- 11 OctDCelta Vigo La Liga1976
- 18 SepWEspanyol La Liga1908
- 15 SepLReal Madrid La Liga1904
- 12 SepDAthletic Club La Liga1925
- 7 SepLReal Sociedad La Liga1928
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 8 /8 | 56.9 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 6th |
| Elche | 6 /8 | 39.2 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Villarreal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2128

Elche · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1964
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Villarreal: balanced profile (how Iñigo Pérez Soto plays) · Elche: possession-based (how Martín Rodrigo Anselmi plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.