NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Vila Nova 2–2 Novorizontino

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania

Vila Nova crestVila NovaTeam 1676
2–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Novorizontino crestNovorizontinoTeam 1753

Match story

Vila Nova · draw · Novorizontino

Before kick-off: 39% · 30% · 31%

Live chances: Vila Nova 0%, draw 100%, Novorizontino 0% at 90+9'1' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 31%2' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 30%3' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%4' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%5' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%6' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%7' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%8' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 39%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%9' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%10' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%11' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 30%12' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 30%13' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 30%14' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 30%15' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 30%16' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 30%17' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 30%18' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 38%, draw 33%, Novorizontino 30%19' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 37%, draw 33%, Novorizontino 30%20' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 37%, draw 33%, Novorizontino 30%21' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 37%, draw 33%, Novorizontino 30%22' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 37%, draw 33%, Novorizontino 30%23' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 37%, draw 33%, Novorizontino 30%24' · 0–0 · Vila Nova 37%, draw 34%, Novorizontino 30%25' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 19%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 54%26' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 19%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 54%27' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 19%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 54%28' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 18%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 54%29' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 18%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 55%30' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 18%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 55%31' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 18%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 55%32' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 17%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 55%33' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 17%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 55%34' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 17%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 56%35' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 17%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 56%36' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 17%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 56%37' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 16%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 56%38' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 16%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 57%39' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 16%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 57%40' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 16%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 57%41' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 15%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 57%42' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 15%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 58%43' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 15%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 58%44' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 15%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 58%45' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 14%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 58%45+1' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 14%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 59%45+2' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 14%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 59%45+3' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 14%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 59%45+4' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 13%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 59%45+5' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 13%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 59%HT · 0–1 · Vila Nova 13%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 59%47' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 13%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 60%48' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 13%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 60%49' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 13%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 60%50' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 12%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 61%51' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 12%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 61%52' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 12%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 62%53' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 11%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 62%54' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 11%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 62%55' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 11%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 63%56' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 10%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 63%57' · 0–2 · Vila Nova 1%, draw 7%, Novorizontino 92%58' · 0–2 · Vila Nova 1%, draw 7%, Novorizontino 92%59' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 9%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 65%60' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 9%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 65%61' · 0–1 · Vila Nova 9%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 66%62' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 28%, draw 49%, Novorizontino 24%63' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 27%, draw 49%, Novorizontino 23%64' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 27%, draw 50%, Novorizontino 23%65' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 26%, draw 51%, Novorizontino 23%66' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 26%, draw 52%, Novorizontino 22%67' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 26%, draw 52%, Novorizontino 22%68' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 25%, draw 53%, Novorizontino 22%69' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 25%, draw 54%, Novorizontino 21%70' · 1–1 · Vila Nova 24%, draw 55%, Novorizontino 21%71' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 78%, draw 19%, Novorizontino 3%72' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 79%, draw 18%, Novorizontino 3%73' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 79%, draw 18%, Novorizontino 3%74' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 80%, draw 18%, Novorizontino 3%75' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 80%, draw 17%, Novorizontino 3%76' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 81%, draw 17%, Novorizontino 2%77' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 81%, draw 16%, Novorizontino 2%79' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 83%, draw 16%, Novorizontino 2%80' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 83%, draw 15%, Novorizontino 2%82' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 85%, draw 14%, Novorizontino 1%83' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 85%, draw 13%, Novorizontino 1%85' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 87%, draw 12%, Novorizontino 1%86' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 88%, draw 11%, Novorizontino 1%87' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 88%, draw 11%, Novorizontino 1%89' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 90%, draw 9%, Novorizontino 1%90' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 91%, draw 8%, Novorizontino 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 93%, draw 7%, Novorizontino 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 94%, draw 6%, Novorizontino 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 96%, draw 4%, Novorizontino 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 98%, draw 2%, Novorizontino 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 99%, draw 1%, Novorizontino 0%90+8' · 2–1 · Vila Nova 100%, draw 0%, Novorizontino 0%90+9' · 2–2 · Vila Nova 0%, draw 100%, Novorizontino 0%

Last reading, 90+9': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Vila Nova 39% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 25'Novorizontino:Robson 1802 −5 assist Eduardo Brock 1578 −3
  2. 27'Vila Nova:Hayner 1754 −3
  3. 32'Vila Nova:Willian Maranhão 1616 −3
  4. 36'Novorizontino:Robson 1802 −5
  5. 41'Novorizontino:Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho 1800 +1 for Sander 1729 −7
  6. 45'Vila Nova:Raphael Guimarães de Paula 1577 −4 for Willian Maranhão 1616 −3
  7. 45'Novorizontino:Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito 1451 −3 for Robson 1802 −5
  8. 62'Vila Nova:Raphael Guimarães de Paula 1577 −4 assist Higor Meritão 1552 −4
  9. 65'Novorizontino:Juninho 1761 +1 for Nicolas Morês da Cruz 1676 +1
  10. 70'Vila Nova:Nathan Camargo 1668 0 for Higor Meritão 1552 −4
  11. 71'Vila Nova:André Luís – assist Raphael Guimarães de Paula 1577 −4
  12. 75'Novorizontino:Vinicius 1691 −7* for Luís Oyama 1873 +2
  13. 75'Novorizontino:Ronald Barcellos Arantes 1568 +1 for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes 1714 +3
  14. 77'Vila Nova:Igor Cariús 1528 −12* for Hayner 1754 −3
  15. 77'Vila Nova:Guilherme Augusto Alves Dellatorre 1587 −6 for André Luís –
  16. 78'Novorizontino:Matheus Henrique Bianqui 1773 +1
  17. 84'Vila Nova:Tiago Pagnussat 1647 −8 for Marquinhos Gabriel 1689 −9
  18. 84'Vila Nova:enzo 1197 −8* for Everton Galdino 1796 −3
  19. 84'Novorizontino:C. Ortiz 1462 −12* for Romulo Azevedo Simão 1910 +1
  20. 90+5'Novorizontino:Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho 1800 +1
  21. 90+8'Novorizontino:C. Ortiz 1462 −12* assist Madson Ferreira dos Santos 1804 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GHelton Leite1761−5
DHayner1754−3
DDouglas Mendes1715−1
DBreno Augusto1610
DJonathan Costa1757−4
DHigor1726−1
MHigor Meritão1552−4
MWillian Maranhão1616−3
MEverton Galdino1796−3
MMarquinhos Gabriel1689−9
MJanderson1821−2
CGuto Ferreira1756−2
GJordi18760
DMadson1804−4
DCarlinhos1634+4
DEduardo Brock1578−3
DSander1729−7
MLuis Oyama1873+2
MMatheus Bianqui1773+1
MReidiney1714+3
MRomulo1910+1
MNicolas Careca1676+1
FRobson1802−5
CEnderson Moreira1872+3
Before kick-off: 39% · 30% · 31%(Vila Nova · draw · Novorizontino)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Vila Nova €455K, Novorizontino €492K.
  • Home advantage made Vila Nova the favourite: it added 11 points to their win chance.
  • Serie B: Jordi was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1876).
  • Style contrast in chance creation (Serie B): Vila Nova ranked #21 of 23, Novorizontino #2.
  • Vila Nova were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Vila Nova

1st in Serie B · 61 pts from 33

  • 11 OctWNautico Recife 1697
  • 7 OctDCuiaba 1721
  • 3 OctWBotafogo SP 1710
  • 25 SepWLondrina 1712
  • 18 SepWAmerica Mineiro 1705

Novorizontino

3rd in Serie B · 60 pts from 33

  • 12 OctWPonte Preta 1727
  • 8 OctWNautico Recife 1776
  • 2 OctWGoias 1764
  • 25 SepDSão Bernardo 1763
  • 18 SepLCeara 1778

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Vila Nova61 /3367.930%91%0%1st
Novorizontino60 /3367.329%90%0%1st
Vila Nova
Novorizontino

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Marquinhos Gabriel
Marquinhos Gabriel

Vila Nova · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1698

Romulo
Romulo

Novorizontino · +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1909

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Augusto Sérgio Ferreira

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Enderson Alves Moreira

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Vila Nova: balanced profile (how Augusto Sérgio Ferreira plays) · Novorizontino: balanced profile (how Enderson Alves Moreira plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.