Úrvalsdeild · Championship Group - 5
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Vikingur Reykjavik host Fram Reykjavik on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Úrvalsdeild); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vikingur Reykjavik 60%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vikingur Reykjavik €261K, Fram Reykjavik €147K.
- E. Ómarsson (Vikingur Reykjavik) has not played for over 90 days.
- Fram Reykjavik are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vikingur Reykjavik goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Vikingur Reykjavik 1591 · Fram Reykjavik 1371
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vikingur Reykjavik · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1617
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vikingur Reykjavik
1st in Úrvalsdeild · 53 pts from 22
- 27 AugLBorac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League1536
- 20 AugLBorac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League1547
- 13 AugWFC Thun UEFA Europa League1542
- 6 AugLFC Thun UEFA Europa League1532
- 29 JulLHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1618
Fram Reykjavik
2nd in Úrvalsdeild · 45 pts from 22
- 1 AugWIBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Urvalsdeild1385
- 29 MayWBreidablik Iceland Urvalsdeild1320
- 22 MayWStjarnan Iceland Urvalsdeild1300
- 17 MayDKR Reykjavik Iceland Urvalsdeild1341
- 8 MayWValur Reykjavik Iceland Urvalsdeild1326
Season outlook
From the Úrvalsdeild simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 53 /22 | 55.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Fram Reykjavik | 45 /22 | 47.4 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –