Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Viking vs Tromso
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Viking host Tromso on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Viking 61%, draw 23%, Tromso 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Viking €2.4M, Tromso €805K.
- Viking are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Viking goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Viking 1917 · Tromso 1674
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Viking · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.5 (Elite) · Elo 1986
Tromso · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1754
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Viking
2nd in Eliteserien · 56 pts from 23
- 17 OctWFredrikstad Eliteserien1866
- 13 OctDBayern München UEFA Champions League1949
- 9 OctWBrann Eliteserien1941
- 20 SepWLillestrom Eliteserien1929
- 13 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1911
Tromso
4th in Eliteserien · 40 pts from 23
- 18 OctDKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1690
- 11 OctDFredrikstad Eliteserien1697
- 20 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1684
- 12 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1641
- 6 SepLKristiansund BK Eliteserien1708
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 56 /23 | 69.7 | 28% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Tromso | 40 /23 | 48.9 | 0% | 48% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Viking: balanced profile (how Bjarte Andre Lunde Aarsheim plays) · Tromso: balanced profile (how Jørgen Vik plays)