Eliteserien · Regular Season - 26
Viking vs KFUM Oslo
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Viking host KFUM Oslo on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Viking 71%, draw 18%, KFUM Oslo 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Viking €2.6M, KFUM Oslo €410K.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Eliteserien average of 26% this round.
- Style contrast in attacking (Eliteserien): Viking rank #1 of 19, KFUM Oslo #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Viking goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Viking 1915 · KFUM Oslo 1553
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Viking · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.5 (Elite) · Elo 1979
KFUM Oslo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1619
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Viking
2nd in Eliteserien · 56 pts from 23
- 21 OctLAston Villa UEFA Champions League1932
- 17 OctWFredrikstad Eliteserien1866
- 13 OctDBayern München UEFA Champions League1949
- 9 OctWBrann Eliteserien1941
- 20 SepWLillestrom Eliteserien1929
KFUM Oslo
9th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 23
- 18 OctDTromso Eliteserien1547
- 12 OctWValerenga Eliteserien1529
- 18 SepWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1485
- 13 SepWAalesund Eliteserien1474
- 6 SepLMolde Eliteserien1460
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 56 /23 | 69.7 | 27% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| KFUM Oslo | 29 /23 | 35.8 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Viking: balanced profile (how B. Aarsheim plays) · KFUM Oslo: balanced profile (how Jørgen Isnes plays)