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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24

Viking 3–2 Fredrikstad

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger

Viking crestVikingTeam 1845
3–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Fredrikstad crestFredrikstadTeam 1548

We gave Viking 65% to win: they did.

  1. 7'Viking:Simen Kvia Egeskog 1978 +22 assist Peter Christiansen 2066 +14
  2. 27'Fredrikstad:Bryan Fiabema 1671 −15 assist Gabriel Wesseh 1342 0
  3. 36'Viking:Joe Bell 2000 +3
  4. 40'Fredrikstad:Gabriel Wesseh 1342 0 assist Daniel Eid 1614 −4
  5. 45'Viking:Zlatko Tripić 1986 0 for Niklas Fuglestad 1553 +3*
  6. 45'Viking:Henrik Bjørdal 1716 +20 for Joe Bell 2000 +3
  7. 46'Viking:Vetle Auklend 1355 +16*
  8. 56'Viking:Peter Christiansen 2066 +14 assist Simen Kvia Egeskog 1978 +22
  9. 57'Viking:Peter Christiansen 2066 +14 assist Vetle Auklend 1355 +16*
  10. 58'Viking:Jesper Daland 1828 +4 for Henrik Falchener 2037 +4
  11. 58'Fredrikstad:Henrik Langaas Skogvold 1621 −1 for jakub jezierski 1616 −10*
  12. 66'Fredrikstad:Sondre Sørløkk 1568 −3
  13. 66'Fredrikstad:Fanuel Ghebreyohannes 1209 −8* for Gabriel Wesseh 1342 0
  14. 70'Viking:Herman Haugen 1690 +4 for Vetle Auklend 1355 +16*
  15. 74'Fredrikstad:Daniel Eid 1614 −4
  16. 80'Fredrikstad:Leonard Owusu 1567 −9* for Solomon Owusu 1555 −3
  17. 80'Fredrikstad:Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez 1510 −2 for Samuel Holm 1575 −3
  18. 80'Fredrikstad:Benjamin Thoresen Faraas 1504 0 for Sondre Sørløkk 1568 −3
  19. 89'Viking:Jakob Segadal Hansen 1682 0 for Peter Christiansen 2066 +14
  20. 90+3'Viking:Erik Botheim 1868 +11

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations3-4-3
GM. Børsheim1632−4
DI. Amundsen1651−13*
DF. Holmé15410
DS. Owusu1555−3
MD. Eid1614−4
MS. Leach Holm1575−3
MJ. Jezierski1616−10*
MS. Sørløkk1568−3
FG. Wesseh13420
FL. West13310
FB. Fiabema1671−15
CCasper Röjkjaer14240
Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 13%(Viking · draw · Fredrikstad)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Viking €2.3M, Fredrikstad €457K.
  • Viking were without 1 expected starter: K. Askildsen (2021).
  • Fredrikstad were without 1 expected starter: M. Nilsson (1529).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Eliteserien matchday 24: 341 points.
  • Draw chance was 19%, below the Eliteserien average of 25% this round.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Viking

1st in Eliteserien · 53 pts from 22

  • 13 OctDBayern München 1949
  • 9 OctWBrann 1941
  • 20 SepWLillestrom 1929
  • 13 SepWKristiansund BK 1911
  • 9 SepLVfB Stuttgart 1896

Fredrikstad

8th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 22

  • 11 OctDTromso 1574
  • 20 SepDValerenga 1594
  • 13 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF 1594
  • 4 SepLBodo/Glimt 1604
  • 30 AugWLillestrom 1528

Season outlook

From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Viking53 /2268.924%100%0%2nd
Fredrikstad29 /2237.90%<1%1%9th
Viking
Fredrikstad

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eliteserien

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Stensness
G. Stensness

Viking · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2017

F. Holmé
F. Holmé

Fredrikstad · +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1541

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Bjarte Andre Lunde Aarsheim

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Casper Rojkjaer

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Viking: balanced profile (how Bjarte Andre Lunde Aarsheim plays) · Fredrikstad: direct (how Casper Rojkjaer plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.