Serie B · Regular Season - 9
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
Vicenza Virtus host Modena on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vicenza Virtus 28%, draw 28%, Modena 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vicenza Virtus €514K, Modena €1.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vicenza Virtus goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Vicenza Virtus 1554 · Modena 1756
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vicenza Virtus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1756
Modena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1797
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vicenza Virtus
17th in Serie B · 6 pts from 7
- 17 OctDBenevento Italy Serie B1581
- 10 OctLPisa Italy Serie B1471
- 20 SepLHellas Verona Italy Serie B1512
- 12 SepDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1499
- 6 SepDVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1551
Modena
4th in Serie B · 13 pts from 7
- 17 OctLCarrarese Italy Serie B1826
- 11 OctWHellas Verona Italy Serie B1811
- 20 SepWEmpoli Italy Serie B1794
- 12 SepDSudtirol Italy Serie B1778
- 6 SepLAvellino Italy Serie B1789
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus | 6 /7 | 38.7 | 0% | <1% | 61% | 20th |
| Modena | 13 /7 | 59.5 | 1% | 43% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –