Serie B · Regular Season - 13
Vicenza Virtus vs Carrarese
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
Vicenza Virtus host Carrarese on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vicenza Virtus 35%, draw 29%, Carrarese 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vicenza Virtus €412K, Carrarese €931K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vicenza Virtus goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Vicenza Virtus 1559 · Carrarese 1653
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vicenza Virtus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.1 (Average) · Elo 1659
Carrarese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1689
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vicenza Virtus
18th in Serie B · 9 pts from 11
- 8 NovLCremonese Italy Serie B1459
- 1 NovLPalermo Italy Serie B1543
- 27 OctLModena Italy Serie B1608
- 23 OctWEmpoli Italy Serie B1499
- 17 OctDBenevento Italy Serie B1580
Carrarese
17th in Serie B · 10 pts from 11
- 8 NovLSampdoria Italy Serie B1660
- 1 NovLHellas Verona Italy Serie B1653
- 28 OctWArezzo Italy Serie B1662
- 25 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1628
- 17 OctWModena Italy Serie B1651
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus | 9 /11 | 38.1 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 20th |
| Carrarese | 10 /11 | 44.3 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct