Superliga · Regular Season - 11
Viborg 1–2 FC Midtjylland
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Viborg Stadion, Vyborg
ViborgTeam 1770
FC MidtjyllandTeam 1967Match story
Viborg · draw · FC MidtjyllandBefore kick-off: 26% · 28% · 46%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Dorian Hanza 59'
- Rasmus Kristensen 51'
- Philip Billing 66'
We gave FC Midtjylland 46% to win: they did.
- 17'Rasmus Kristensen 2148
FC Midtjylland:Rasmus Kristensen 2148 - 27'Sofus Johannesen 1750 for Denil Castillo 2068
FC Midtjylland:Sofus Johannesen 1750 for Denil Castillo 2068 - 44'Mads Bech Sørensen 2081
FC Midtjylland:Mads Bech Sørensen 2081 - 45'Cho Gue-sung 2033 for Stanley Iheanacho 1712
FC Midtjylland:Cho Gue-sung 2033 for Stanley Iheanacho 1712 - 45'Julius Emefile 1691 for Kjell-Arik Wätjen 1905
FC Midtjylland:Julius Emefile 1691 for Kjell-Arik Wätjen 1905 - 51'Rasmus Kristensen 2148 assist Philip Billing 2081
FC Midtjylland:Rasmus Kristensen 2148 assist Philip Billing 2081 - 57'Mike Tullberg
FC Midtjylland:Mike Tullberg - Dorian Hanza 1742 assist Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman 181659'
Viborg:Dorian Hanza 1742 assist Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman 1816 - Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 1815 for Hjalte Bidstrup 171564'
Viborg:Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 1815 for Hjalte Bidstrup 1715 - 66'Philip Billing 2081
FC Midtjylland:Philip Billing 2081 - Ruben Kristensen Alte 1580 for Asker Beck 180878'
Viborg:Ruben Kristensen Alte 1580 for Asker Beck 1808 - Philip Keller 1455 for Mads Søndergaard Clausen 181879'
Viborg:Philip Keller 1455 for Mads Søndergaard Clausen 1818 - Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen 1454 for Sami Jalal Karchoud 181479'
Viborg:Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen 1454 for Sami Jalal Karchoud 1814 - 81'Andreas Maxsø 1834
FC Midtjylland:Andreas Maxsø 1834 - Lukas Kirkegaard 178784'
Viborg:Lukas Kirkegaard 1787 - Žan Zaletel 1731 for Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman 181686'
Viborg:Žan Zaletel 1731 for Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman 1816 - Jeppe Grønning 174588'
Viborg:Jeppe Grønning 1745 - 90+1'Mileta Rajovic 1814 for Friday Etim 1793
FC Midtjylland:Mileta Rajovic 1814 for Friday Etim 1793
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 46%(Viborg · draw · FC Midtjylland)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Viborg €1.1M, FC Midtjylland €3.7M.
- FC Midtjylland were without 3 expected starters: E. Ólafsson (2098), M. Jensen (1910) and V. Bak Jensen (2036).
- Superliga: R. Kristensen was the highest-rated defender (2148).
- FC Midtjylland were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Viborg
3rd in Superliga · 20 pts from 10
- 11 OctWRanders FC Denmark Superliga1760
- 20 SepWFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1722
- 13 SepDSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1724
- 4 SepLLyngby Denmark Superliga1748
- 28 AugWAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1744
FC Midtjylland
2nd in Superliga · 22 pts from 10
- 15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Conference League1981
- 11 OctWFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1938
- 19 SepDOdense Denmark Superliga1987
- 14 SepWBrondby Denmark Superliga1947
- 7 SepDFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1985
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg | 20 /10 | 35.7 | 2% | 72% | 0% | 4th |
| FC Midtjylland | 22 /10 | 44.4 | 41% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Viborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.8 (Good) · Elo 1787

FC Midtjylland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2081
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Viborg: balanced profile (how Nickolai Lund plays) · FC Midtjylland: dribble-heavy · direct (how Mike Tullberg plays)