2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg host VfL Osnabrück on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VfL Wolfsburg 62%, draw 23%, VfL Osnabrück 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VfL Wolfsburg €2.9M, VfL Osnabrück €586K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 2. Bundesliga matchday 10: 217 points.
- 2. Bundesliga: J. Mæhle is the highest-rated defender (2184).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VfL Wolfsburg goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: VfL Wolfsburg 1940 · VfL Osnabrück 1723
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VfL Wolfsburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2060
VfL Osnabrück · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1822
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VfL Wolfsburg
3rd in 2. Bundesliga · 15 pts from 8
- 17 OctW1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1950
- 10 OctD1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1925
- 18 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 12 SepLFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 5 SepDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1926
VfL Osnabrück
12th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 8
- 18 OctLArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1788
- 10 OctDDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1761
- 19 SepDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1757
- 13 SepLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1795
- 6 SepWEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1769
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 15 /8 | 60.3 | 30% | 84% | 0% | 1st |
| VfL Osnabrück | 8 /8 | 39.3 | 0% | 1% | 33% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VfL Wolfsburg: balanced profile (how Tobias Strobl plays) · VfL Osnabrück: balanced profile (how Timo Schultz plays)