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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgTeam 1922
3–1
Full time
HT 2–1
1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC HeidenheimTeam 1786

Match story

VfL Wolfsburg · draw · 1. FC Heidenheim

Before kick-off: 57% · 22% · 21%

Live chances: VfL Wolfsburg 100%, draw 0%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0% at 90+4'2' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%3' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%4' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%5' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%6' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%7' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%8' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%9' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%10' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%11' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%12' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 14%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%13' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%14' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%15' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%16' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%17' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%18' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%19' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%20' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%21' · 1–0 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 15%, 1. FC Heidenheim 8%22' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 53%, draw 25%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%23' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 53%, draw 25%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%24' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 53%, draw 25%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%25' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 53%, draw 26%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%26' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 53%, draw 26%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%27' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 52%, draw 26%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%28' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 52%, draw 26%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%29' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 52%, draw 26%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%30' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 52%, draw 26%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%31' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 51%, draw 27%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%32' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 51%, draw 27%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%33' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 51%, draw 27%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%34' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 51%, draw 27%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%35' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 50%, draw 28%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%36' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 50%, draw 28%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%37' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 50%, draw 28%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%38' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 50%, draw 28%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%39' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 49%, draw 29%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%40' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 49%, draw 29%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%41' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 49%, draw 29%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%42' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 49%, draw 29%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%43' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 48%, draw 30%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%44' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 48%, draw 30%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%45' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 48%, draw 30%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%45+1' · 1–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 47%, draw 31%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%45+2' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 7%HT · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%46' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%47' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%48' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%49' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%50' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%51' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%52' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%53' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%54' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 77%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 6%55' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%56' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%57' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%58' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%59' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%60' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%61' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 78%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%62' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 79%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%63' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 79%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 4%64' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 79%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 4%65' · 2–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 79%, draw 17%, 1. FC Heidenheim 4%66' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 96%, draw 3%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%67' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 3%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%68' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 3%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%69' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 3%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%70' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 3%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%71' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 3%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%72' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%73' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%74' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 97%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%75' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 98%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%76' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 98%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%77' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 98%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%78' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 98%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%79' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 98%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%80' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 98%, draw 2%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%81' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 98%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%82' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%83' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%84' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%85' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%86' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%87' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%88' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 1%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%89' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 99%, draw 0%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%90' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 100%, draw 0%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%90+1' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 100%, draw 0%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%90+2' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 100%, draw 0%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%90+3' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 100%, draw 0%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%90+4' · 3–1 · VfL Wolfsburg 100%, draw 0%, 1. FC Heidenheim 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave VfL Wolfsburg 57% to win: they did.

  1. 1'VfL Wolfsburg:Alexander Bernhardsson 2012 +29 assist Vinicius de Souza Costa 2060 +25
  2. 21'1. FC Heidenheim:Patrick Mainka 1827 −14 assist Jan Schoppner 1887 −7
  3. 32'VfL Wolfsburg:Hauke Wahl 2001 +7
  4. 45'1. FC Heidenheim:Marcel Costly 1740 −10* for Christian Conteh 1745 0
  5. 45+1'VfL Wolfsburg:Robert Glatzel 1869 +39 assist Joakim Maehle 2184 +14
  6. 58'VfL Wolfsburg:Timon Wellenreuther 2173 +8*
  7. 62'VfL Wolfsburg:Fabian Reese 1993 +27
  8. 64'VfL Wolfsburg:Elvis Rexhbecaj 2050 +1 for Yannick Gerhardt 1881 +6
  9. 65'VfL Wolfsburg:Muhammed Damar 1921 +38 assist Fabian Reese 1993 +27
  10. 67'1. FC Heidenheim:Mathias Honsak 1783 −2 for Julian niehues 1775 −1
  11. 69'1. FC Heidenheim:Michael Heule 1897 −7
  12. 80'1. FC Heidenheim:Yannik Wagner 1596 0 for Paul Hennrich 1648 0
  13. 80'VfL Wolfsburg:Alessio Besio 1723 +2 for Fabian Reese 1993 +27
  14. 85'VfL Wolfsburg:Alessio Besio 1723 +2
  15. 89'VfL Wolfsburg:Bence Dárdai 1871 −7* for Alexander Bernhardsson 2012 +29
  16. 89'VfL Wolfsburg:Kento Shiogai 1596 0 for Muhammed Damar 1921 +38
  17. 89'1. FC Heidenheim:Tim Siersleben 1832 −8* for Mikkel Kaufmann 1714 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-4-2
GT. Wellenreuther2173+8*
DS. Kumbedi1995+4*
DH. Wahl2001+7
DCleiton1682+27*
DJ. Mæhle2184+14
MY. Gerhardt1881+6
MVinicius Souza2060+25
MM. Damar1921+38
FA. Bernhardsson2012+29
FR. Glatzel1869+39
FF. Reese1993+27
CTobias Strobl1865+30
GT. Dähne1782−5
DO. Mhamdi1779−4
DP. Mainka1827−14
DJ. Föhrenbach1913−11
DM. Heule1897−7
MP. Hennrich16480
MJ. Schöppner1887−7
MJ. Niehues1775−1
MC. Conteh17450
FM. Kaufmann17140
FA. Vogt1848−5
CF. Schmidt1868−11
Before kick-off: 57% · 22% · 21%(VfL Wolfsburg · draw · 1. FC Heidenheim)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 3–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: VfL Wolfsburg €3.7M, 1. FC Heidenheim €2.0M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of 2. Bundesliga matchday 8: 114 points.
  • 2. Bundesliga: J. Mæhle was the highest-rated defender (2170).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (2. Bundesliga): VfL Wolfsburg ranked #15 of 18, 1. FC Heidenheim #2.
  • 1. FC Heidenheim were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

VfL Wolfsburg

5th in 2. Bundesliga · 12 pts from 7

  • 10 OctD1. FC Nürnberg 1925
  • 18 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 1880
  • 12 SepLFC St. Pauli 1880
  • 5 SepDEnergie Cottbus 1926
  • 29 AugWKarlsruher SC 1850

1. FC Heidenheim

3rd in 2. Bundesliga · 14 pts from 7

  • 9 OctD1. FC Kaiserslautern 1812
  • 20 SepDArminia Bielefeld 1830
  • 13 SepWHolstein Kiel 1826
  • 6 SepWSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1819
  • 29 AugWDynamo Dresden 1780

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
VfL Wolfsburg12 /758.722%76%<1%1st
1. FC Heidenheim14 /752.23%35%1%4th
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

H. Wahl
H. Wahl

VfL Wolfsburg · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1994

M. Heule
M. Heule

1. FC Heidenheim · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1904

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Tobias Strobl

Coach DNA: –

Frank Schmidt

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

VfL Wolfsburg: balanced profile (how Tobias Strobl plays) · 1. FC Heidenheim: direct (how Frank Schmidt plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.