2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
VfL Osnabrück host SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 28%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VfL Osnabrück €586K, SpVgg Greuther Fürth €867K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VfL Osnabrück goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: VfL Osnabrück 1723 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1681
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VfL Osnabrück · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1822
SpVgg Greuther Fürth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1690
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VfL Osnabrück
12th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 8
- 18 OctLArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1788
- 10 OctDDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1761
- 19 SepDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1757
- 13 SepLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1795
- 6 SepWEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1769
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10th in 2. Bundesliga · 9 pts from 8
- 17 OctWEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1653
- 11 OctLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1668
- 18 SepD1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1664
- 12 SepDVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1680
- 6 SepL1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1702
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabrück | 8 /8 | 39.3 | 0% | 1% | 33% | 17th |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 /8 | 38.3 | 0% | 1% | 37% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VfL Osnabrück: balanced profile (how Timo Schultz plays) · SpVgg Greuther Fürth: balanced profile (how Heiko Vogel plays)