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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Stadion an der Bremer Brücke, Osnabruck

VfL Osnabrück crestVfL OsnabrückTeam 1718
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Dynamo Dresden crestDynamo DresdenTeam 1677

Match story

VfL Osnabrück · draw · Dynamo Dresden

Before kick-off: 48% · 26% · 26%

Live chances: VfL Osnabrück 6%, draw 90%, Dynamo Dresden 4% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 48%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%3' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%4' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%5' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%6' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%7' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%8' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%9' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 47%, draw 28%, Dynamo Dresden 26%10' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 46%, draw 28%, Dynamo Dresden 26%11' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 46%, draw 28%, Dynamo Dresden 26%12' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 46%, draw 28%, Dynamo Dresden 26%13' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 46%, draw 28%, Dynamo Dresden 26%14' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 46%, draw 28%, Dynamo Dresden 26%15' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 46%, draw 29%, Dynamo Dresden 26%16' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 45%, draw 29%, Dynamo Dresden 26%17' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 45%, draw 29%, Dynamo Dresden 26%18' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 45%, draw 29%, Dynamo Dresden 26%19' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 45%, draw 29%, Dynamo Dresden 26%20' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 45%, draw 29%, Dynamo Dresden 26%21' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 45%, draw 30%, Dynamo Dresden 26%22' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 44%, draw 30%, Dynamo Dresden 26%23' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 44%, draw 30%, Dynamo Dresden 26%24' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 44%, draw 30%, Dynamo Dresden 26%25' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 44%, draw 31%, Dynamo Dresden 26%26' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 44%, draw 31%, Dynamo Dresden 26%27' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 43%, draw 31%, Dynamo Dresden 26%28' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 43%, draw 31%, Dynamo Dresden 26%29' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 43%, draw 31%, Dynamo Dresden 26%30' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 43%, draw 32%, Dynamo Dresden 26%31' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 43%, draw 32%, Dynamo Dresden 25%32' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 42%, draw 32%, Dynamo Dresden 25%33' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 42%, draw 32%, Dynamo Dresden 25%34' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 42%, draw 33%, Dynamo Dresden 25%35' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 42%, draw 33%, Dynamo Dresden 25%36' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 41%, draw 33%, Dynamo Dresden 25%37' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 41%, draw 34%, Dynamo Dresden 25%38' · 0–0 · VfL Osnabrück 41%, draw 34%, Dynamo Dresden 25%39' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 20%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 53%40' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 19%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 54%41' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 19%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 54%42' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 19%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 54%43' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 18%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 55%44' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 18%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 55%45' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 18%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 55%45+1' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 17%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 56%HT · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 16%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 56%46' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 16%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 57%47' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 16%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 57%48' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 16%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 57%49' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 15%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 58%50' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 15%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 58%51' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 14%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 59%52' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 14%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 59%53' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 14%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 59%54' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 13%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 60%55' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 13%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 60%56' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 12%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 61%58' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 11%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 62%60' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 11%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 63%61' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 10%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 64%62' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 10%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 64%63' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 9%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 65%64' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 9%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 65%65' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 9%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 66%66' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 8%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 67%67' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 8%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 67%68' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 8%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 68%69' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 7%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden 68%70' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 7%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden 69%71' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 6%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden 70%72' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 6%, draw 23%, Dynamo Dresden 70%73' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 6%, draw 23%, Dynamo Dresden 71%74' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 5%, draw 23%, Dynamo Dresden 72%75' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 5%, draw 22%, Dynamo Dresden 73%76' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 5%, draw 22%, Dynamo Dresden 74%77' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 4%, draw 21%, Dynamo Dresden 74%78' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 4%, draw 21%, Dynamo Dresden 75%79' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 4%, draw 20%, Dynamo Dresden 76%80' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 3%, draw 20%, Dynamo Dresden 77%81' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 3%, draw 19%, Dynamo Dresden 78%82' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 3%, draw 18%, Dynamo Dresden 79%83' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 2%, draw 17%, Dynamo Dresden 80%84' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 2%, draw 17%, Dynamo Dresden 81%85' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 2%, draw 16%, Dynamo Dresden 82%86' · 0–1 · VfL Osnabrück 2%, draw 15%, Dynamo Dresden 83%87' · 1–1 · VfL Osnabrück 14%, draw 76%, Dynamo Dresden 10%88' · 1–1 · VfL Osnabrück 12%, draw 78%, Dynamo Dresden 9%89' · 1–1 · VfL Osnabrück 11%, draw 80%, Dynamo Dresden 8%90' · 1–1 · VfL Osnabrück 10%, draw 82%, Dynamo Dresden 8%90+1' · 1–1 · VfL Osnabrück 9%, draw 85%, Dynamo Dresden 7%90+2' · 1–1 · VfL Osnabrück 7%, draw 87%, Dynamo Dresden 5%90+3' · 1–1 · VfL Osnabrück 6%, draw 90%, Dynamo Dresden 4%

Last reading, 90+3': 6% · 90% · 4%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave VfL Osnabrück 48% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 38'Dynamo Dresden:Niklas Hauptmann 1724 −1* assist Jonas Sterner 1771 −3*
  2. 45'VfL Osnabrück:Robin Meißner 1813 −9*
  3. 45'VfL Osnabrück:Leon Maximilian Flach 1839 −9* for Fridolin Wagner 1751 −9*
  4. 61'VfL Osnabrück:Konrad Faber 1607 −9* for Patrick Kammerbauer 1763 −10*
  5. 61'VfL Osnabrück:Ismail Badjie 1633 −8* for Jonathan Gómez 1902 −9*
  6. 61'VfL Osnabrück:Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 1782 −10* for Bernd Riesselmann 1324 −8*
  7. 68'Dynamo Dresden:Nicolai Rapp 1746 −6*
  8. 69'Dynamo Dresden:Christoph Daferner 1628 −7* for Vincent Vermeij 1728 −8*
  9. 72'Dynamo Dresden:Jonas Sterner 1771 −3*
  10. 75'VfL Osnabrück:Robin Fabinski 1737 −8*
  11. 81'Dynamo Dresden:Patrice Čović 1639 −2*
  12. 82'Dynamo Dresden:Simon Straudi 1674 −4*
  13. 82'Dynamo Dresden:Jakob Lemmer 1683 −8* for Niklas Hauptmann 1724 −1*
  14. 82'VfL Osnabrück:Luca Raimund 1604 −8* for Bjarke Jacobsen 1766 −13*
  15. 84'VfL Osnabrück:Konrad Faber 1607 −9*
  16. 87'VfL Osnabrück:Robin Fabinski 1737 −8* assist Niklas Wiemann 1812 −12*
  17. 87'Dynamo Dresden:Kennedy Okpala 1631 −7* for Patrice Čović 1639 −2*
  18. 87'Dynamo Dresden:Ahmet Muhamedbegovic 1636 −8* for Ben Bobzien 1728 −4*
  19. 87'Dynamo Dresden:Alexander Rossipal 1766 −9* for Simon Straudi 1674 −4*
  20. 90+1'VfL Osnabrück:Leon Maximilian Flach 1839 −9*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Krumrey1800−9*
DR. Fabinski1737−8*
DJ. Müller1777−14*
DN. Wiemann1812−12*
MP. Kammerbauer1763−10*
MF. Wagner1751−9*
MB. Jacobsen1766−13*
MJ. Gómez1902−9*
MA. Beck1831−11*
MB. Riesselmann1324−8*
FR. Meißner1813−9*
CT. Schultz1816−10*
GL. Grill1679−3*
DJ. Sterner1771−3*
DN. Rapp1746−6*
DF. Muller1725−2*
DS. Straudi1674−4*
MR. Wagner1744−4*
MT. Raschl1718+2*
MP. Čović1639−2*
MN. Hauptmann1724−1*
MB. Bobzien1728−4*
FV. Vermeij1728−8*
CThomas Stamm1728−1*
Before kick-off: 48% · 26% · 26%(VfL Osnabrück · draw · Dynamo Dresden)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: VfL Osnabrück €609K, Dynamo Dresden €910K.
  • Style contrast in attacking (2. Bundesliga): VfL Osnabrück ranked #18 of 18, Dynamo Dresden #2.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

VfL Osnabrück

12th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 6

  • 19 SepDHolstein Kiel 1757
  • 13 SepLHertha BSC 1795
  • 6 SepWEintracht Braunschweig 1769
  • 2 SepLBayern München 1755
  • 28 AugWVfL Bochum 1727

Dynamo Dresden

17th in 2. Bundesliga · 4 pts from 6

  • 19 SepLHertha BSC 1722
  • 12 SepDEintracht Braunschweig 1734
  • 5 SepLVfL Bochum 1756
  • 29 AugL1. FC Heidenheim 1721
  • 16 AugWSV Darmstadt 98 1708

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
VfL Osnabrück7 /642.5<1%4%17%14th
Dynamo Dresden4 /637.0<1%1%44%18th
VfL Osnabrück
Dynamo Dresden

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Beck
A. Beck

VfL Osnabrück · -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1842

F. Muller

Dynamo Dresden · +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1727

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Timo Schultz

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Thomas Stamm

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

VfL Osnabrück: balanced profile (how Timo Schultz plays) · Dynamo Dresden: balanced profile (how Thomas Stamm plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.