2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
VfL Bochum host VfL Wolfsburg on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VfL Bochum 33%, draw 29%, VfL Wolfsburg 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VfL Bochum €1.1M, VfL Wolfsburg €2.9M.
- 2. Bundesliga: J. Mæhle is the highest-rated defender (2184).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (2. Bundesliga): VfL Bochum rank #1 of 18, VfL Wolfsburg #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VfL Bochum goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: VfL Bochum 1808 · VfL Wolfsburg 1940
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VfL Bochum · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1869
VfL Wolfsburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2060
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VfL Bochum
16th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 8
- 17 OctL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1817
- 11 OctLArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1836
- 20 SepLHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 12 SepDSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1843
- 5 SepWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1849
VfL Wolfsburg
3rd in 2. Bundesliga · 15 pts from 8
- 17 OctW1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1950
- 10 OctD1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1925
- 18 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 12 SepLFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 5 SepDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1926
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 7 /8 | 43.3 | <1% | 5% | 13% | 10th |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 15 /8 | 60.3 | 30% | 84% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VfL Bochum: direct (how Uwe Rösler plays) · VfL Wolfsburg: balanced profile (how Tobias Strobl plays)