2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
VfL Bochum 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
VfL BochumTeam 1796
Arminia BielefeldTeam 1732Match story
VfL Bochum · draw · Arminia BielefeldBefore kick-off: 49% · 26% · 24%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Benjamin boakye 78'
We gave VfL Bochum 49% to win: Arminia Bielefeld won.
- Michael Steinwender 1874 −35*23'
VfL Bochum:Michael Steinwender 1874 −35* - 39'Joel Felix 1716 +11*
Arminia Bielefeld:Joel Felix 1716 +11* - Berkan Taz 1767 −9* for Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen 1830 −12*63'
VfL Bochum:Berkan Taz 1767 −9* for Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen 1830 −12* - 64'Benjamin boakye 1660 +10* for Isaiah Young 1676 +36*
Arminia Bielefeld:Benjamin boakye 1660 +10* for Isaiah Young 1676 +36* - 64'Jannik Rochelt 1761 −4* for Leon Jensen 1826 +14*
Arminia Bielefeld:Jannik Rochelt 1761 −4* for Leon Jensen 1826 +14* - 72'Benjamin boakye 1660 +10*
Arminia Bielefeld:Benjamin boakye 1660 +10* - 78'Benjamin boakye 1660 +10* assist Joel Grodowski 1784 +5*
Arminia Bielefeld:Benjamin boakye 1660 +10* assist Joel Grodowski 1784 +5* - Daniel Hanslik 1790 −10* for Mats Henry Pannewig 1843 −14*81'
VfL Bochum:Daniel Hanslik 1790 −10* for Mats Henry Pannewig 1843 −14* - 82'David Min 1845 −7* for Joel Grodowski 1784 +5*
Arminia Bielefeld:David Min 1845 −7* for Joel Grodowski 1784 +5* - alessandro crimaldi 1578 −8* for Maximilian Wittek 1837 −29*86'
VfL Bochum:alessandro crimaldi 1578 −8* for Maximilian Wittek 1837 −29* - Gerrit Holtmann 1765 −12*87'
VfL Bochum:Gerrit Holtmann 1765 −12* - 90'Leon Schneider 1844 −8* for Marius Worl 1774 +8*
Arminia Bielefeld:Leon Schneider 1844 −8* for Marius Worl 1774 +8* - 90'David Min 1845 −7*
Arminia Bielefeld:David Min 1845 −7*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 26% · 24%(VfL Bochum · draw · Arminia Bielefeld)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: VfL Bochum €1.3M, Arminia Bielefeld €1.0M.
- Style contrast in discipline (2. Bundesliga): VfL Bochum ranked #18 of 18, Arminia Bielefeld #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VfL Bochum
11th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 6
- 20 SepLHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 12 SepDSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1843
- 5 SepWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1849
- 28 AugLVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1832
- 23 AugWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany DFB Pokal1846
Arminia Bielefeld
15th in 2. Bundesliga · 5 pts from 6
- 20 SepD1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1781
- 11 SepLSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1762
- 4 SepDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1771
- 29 AugL1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1779
- 22 AugDSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany DFB Pokal1753
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 7 /6 | 47.0 | 1% | 15% | 6% | 7th |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 5 /6 | 41.6 | 0% | 3% | 19% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

VfL Bochum · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1929

Arminia Bielefeld · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1768
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VfL Bochum: direct (how Uwe Rösler plays) · Arminia Bielefeld: balanced profile (how Oliver Kirch plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.