Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart host Werder Bremen on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VfB Stuttgart 55%, draw 25%, Werder Bremen 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VfB Stuttgart €14.4M, Werder Bremen €6.3M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Bundesliga): VfB Stuttgart rank #2 of 18, Werder Bremen #16.
- Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VfB Stuttgart goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: VfB Stuttgart 2162 · Werder Bremen 1973
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VfB Stuttgart · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2202
Werder Bremen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2145
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VfB Stuttgart
13th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6
- 20 OctDAtletico Madrid UEFA Champions League2195
- 17 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2213
- 14 OctWSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League2156
- 10 OctWSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2183
- 19 SepLBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga2190
Werder Bremen
8th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctDSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2037
- 9 OctDBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga2031
- 19 SepWFC Augsburg Bundesliga2004
- 12 SepD1. FC Köln Bundesliga2004
- 5 SepWRB Leipzig Bundesliga1956
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 6 /6 | 50.7 | 0% | 15% | <1% | 6th |
| Werder Bremen | 9 /6 | 40.4 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VfB Stuttgart: possession-based · creative (how Sebastian Hoeneß plays) · Werder Bremen: balanced profile (how D. Thioune plays)