Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: VfB Stuttgart 61%, draw 23%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: VfB Stuttgart €15.2M, Borussia Mönchengladbach €5.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. VfB Stuttgart goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.5 pts
Team Elo: VfB Stuttgart 2161 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1909
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
VfB Stuttgart · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2218
Borussia Mönchengladbach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2013
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
VfB Stuttgart
13th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6
- 17 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2213
- 14 OctWSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League2156
- 10 OctWSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2183
- 19 SepLBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga2190
- 12 SepL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2147
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18th in Bundesliga · 0 pts from 6
- 18 OctL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga1875
- 11 OctL1. FC Köln Bundesliga1909
- 19 SepLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga1916
- 12 SepLSC Freiburg Bundesliga1975
- 5 SepLSV Elversberg Bundesliga1983
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 6 /6 | 50.6 | 0% | 15% | 1% | 6th |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 /6 | 27.3 | 0% | 0% | 82% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
VfB Stuttgart: possession-based · creative (how Sebastian Hoeneß plays) · Borussia Mönchengladbach: balanced profile (how Alexander Matthias Blessin plays)