3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Sportclub Arena, Verl
Verl host Rot-Weiß Essen on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Verl 31%, draw 29%, Rot-Weiß Essen 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Verl €353K, Rot-Weiß Essen €484K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Verl goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–17%
- 0–26%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: Verl 1526 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1689
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Verl · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1583
Rot-Weiß Essen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Verl
17th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 13
- 8 NovLStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1531
- 31 OctLSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1447
- 24 OctLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1535
- 18 OctLHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1550
- 14 OctDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1580
Rot-Weiß Essen
3rd in 3. Liga · 27 pts from 13
- 7 NovWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1681
- 1 NovWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1710
- 27 OctLRB Leipzig Germany DFB Pokal1695
- 23 OctWSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1637
- 17 OctLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1687
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 12 /13 | 43.7 | 0% | <1% | 18% | 16th |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 27 /13 | 67.9 | 24% | 76% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Verl: possession-based (how Orest Shala plays) · Rot-Weiß Essen: balanced profile (how Uwe Koschinat plays)