Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Veres Rivne 0–3 Shakhtar Donetsk
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Avanhard Stadium, Uzhhorod
Veres RivneTeam 1363Shakhtar DonetskTeam 1976We gave Shakhtar Donetsk 77% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 8% · 15% · 77%(Veres Rivne · draw · Shakhtar Donetsk)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 0–3 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Veres Rivne €273K, Shakhtar Donetsk €6.4M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 8: 586 points.
- Draw chance was 16%, below the Premier League average of 25% this round.
- Premier League: D. Riznyk was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2161).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Premier League): Veres Rivne ranked #13 of 14, Shakhtar Donetsk #1.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Veres Rivne
6th in Premier League · 9 pts from 7
- 3 OctWKudrivka Ukraine Premier League1390
- 20 SepDKarpaty Ukraine Premier League1419
- 6 SepDZorya Luhansk Ukraine Premier League1391
- 30 AugWLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1388
- 14 AugDEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Ukraine Premier League1373
Shakhtar Donetsk
2nd in Premier League · 18 pts from 7
- 20 SepWLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1967
- 14 SepWChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1924
- 10 SepDPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League2001
- 5 SepWKarpaty Ukraine Premier League1959
- 29 AugLPolessya Ukraine Premier League1939
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veres Rivne | 9 /7 | 32.0 | 0% | <1% | 24% | 11th |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 18 /7 | 71.4 | 87% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shakhtar Donetsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 2161
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Veres Rivne: direct (how Oleh Shandruk plays) · Shakhtar Donetsk: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Arda Turan plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.