Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 22:15 UTC
Velez Sarsfield host San Lorenzo on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Velez Sarsfield 49%, draw 27%, San Lorenzo 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Velez Sarsfield €873K, San Lorenzo €786K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Velez Sarsfield goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Velez Sarsfield 1789 · San Lorenzo 1716
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Velez Sarsfield · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1833
San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 1732
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Velez Sarsfield
3rd in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16
- 17 OctWGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1797
- 12 OctLLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1773
- 5 OctDPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1813
- 21 SepWTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1824
- 11 SepDNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1803
San Lorenzo
7th in Liga Profesional · 22 pts from 16
- 18 OctWEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1676
- 11 OctWDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 3 OctLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 20 SepLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 13 SepDIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1706
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | 28 /16 | 32.9 | 1% | 22% | 0% | 6th |
| San Lorenzo | 22 /16 | 26.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Velez Sarsfield: balanced profile (how Guillermo Barros Schelotto plays) · San Lorenzo: balanced profile (how Rubén Darío Insúa plays)