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Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13

Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Gimnasia M.

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Velez Sarsfield crestVelez SarsfieldTeam 1730
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Gimnasia M. crestGimnasia M.Team 1697

Match story

Velez Sarsfield · draw · Gimnasia M.

Before kick-off: 45% · 29% · 26%

Live chances: Velez Sarsfield 99%, draw 1%, Gimnasia M. 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 45%, draw 29%, Gimnasia M. 26%3' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 29%, Gimnasia M. 26%4' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 26%5' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 26%6' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 26%7' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 26%8' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 26%9' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 26%10' · 0–1 · Velez Sarsfield 26%, draw 28%, Gimnasia M. 46%11' · 0–1 · Velez Sarsfield 26%, draw 28%, Gimnasia M. 46%12' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 26%13' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 26%14' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 26%15' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 26%16' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 26%17' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 26%18' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 26%19' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 42%, draw 32%, Gimnasia M. 26%20' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 42%, draw 32%, Gimnasia M. 26%21' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 42%, draw 32%, Gimnasia M. 26%22' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 42%, draw 32%, Gimnasia M. 26%23' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 42%, draw 32%, Gimnasia M. 26%24' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 42%, draw 32%, Gimnasia M. 26%25' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 41%, draw 33%, Gimnasia M. 26%26' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 41%, draw 33%, Gimnasia M. 26%27' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 41%, draw 33%, Gimnasia M. 26%28' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 41%, draw 33%, Gimnasia M. 26%29' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 41%, draw 33%, Gimnasia M. 26%30' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 41%, draw 34%, Gimnasia M. 26%31' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 40%, draw 34%, Gimnasia M. 26%32' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 40%, draw 34%, Gimnasia M. 26%33' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 40%, draw 34%, Gimnasia M. 26%34' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 40%, draw 35%, Gimnasia M. 26%35' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 40%, draw 35%, Gimnasia M. 26%36' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 39%, draw 35%, Gimnasia M. 25%37' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 39%, draw 35%, Gimnasia M. 25%38' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 39%, draw 36%, Gimnasia M. 25%39' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 39%, draw 36%, Gimnasia M. 25%40' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 39%, draw 36%, Gimnasia M. 25%41' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 38%, draw 36%, Gimnasia M. 25%42' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 38%, draw 37%, Gimnasia M. 25%43' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 38%, draw 37%, Gimnasia M. 25%44' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 38%, draw 37%, Gimnasia M. 25%45' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 37%, draw 38%, Gimnasia M. 25%45+1' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 37%, draw 38%, Gimnasia M. 25%45+2' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 37%, draw 38%, Gimnasia M. 25%45+3' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 37%, draw 39%, Gimnasia M. 25%HT · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 37%, draw 39%, Gimnasia M. 24%46' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 36%, draw 39%, Gimnasia M. 24%48' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 36%, draw 40%, Gimnasia M. 24%49' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 36%, draw 40%, Gimnasia M. 24%50' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 35%, draw 41%, Gimnasia M. 24%51' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 35%, draw 41%, Gimnasia M. 24%52' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 35%, draw 42%, Gimnasia M. 24%53' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 34%, draw 42%, Gimnasia M. 24%54' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 34%, draw 43%, Gimnasia M. 23%56' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 33%, draw 44%, Gimnasia M. 23%57' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 33%, draw 45%, Gimnasia M. 23%58' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 32%, draw 45%, Gimnasia M. 23%59' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 32%, draw 46%, Gimnasia M. 22%60' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 31%, draw 47%, Gimnasia M. 22%61' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 31%, draw 47%, Gimnasia M. 22%62' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 31%, draw 48%, Gimnasia M. 22%63' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 30%, draw 49%, Gimnasia M. 21%65' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 29%, draw 50%, Gimnasia M. 21%67' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 28%, draw 52%, Gimnasia M. 20%68' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 28%, draw 52%, Gimnasia M. 20%69' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 27%, draw 53%, Gimnasia M. 20%70' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 27%, draw 54%, Gimnasia M. 19%71' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 26%, draw 55%, Gimnasia M. 19%72' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 25%, draw 56%, Gimnasia M. 19%73' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 25%, draw 57%, Gimnasia M. 18%74' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 24%, draw 58%, Gimnasia M. 18%75' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 24%, draw 59%, Gimnasia M. 17%76' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 23%, draw 60%, Gimnasia M. 17%77' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 22%, draw 61%, Gimnasia M. 16%78' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 21%, draw 63%, Gimnasia M. 16%79' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 21%, draw 64%, Gimnasia M. 15%80' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 20%, draw 65%, Gimnasia M. 15%82' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 18%, draw 68%, Gimnasia M. 14%83' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 17%, draw 69%, Gimnasia M. 13%84' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 17%, draw 71%, Gimnasia M. 13%85' · 0–0 · Velez Sarsfield 16%, draw 73%, Gimnasia M. 12%86' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 88%, draw 11%, Gimnasia M. 1%87' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 89%, draw 10%, Gimnasia M. 1%88' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 90%, draw 9%, Gimnasia M. 1%89' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 91%, draw 9%, Gimnasia M. 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 93%, draw 7%, Gimnasia M. 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 94%, draw 6%, Gimnasia M. 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 95%, draw 5%, Gimnasia M. 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 97%, draw 3%, Gimnasia M. 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 98%, draw 2%, Gimnasia M. 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Velez Sarsfield 99%, draw 1%, Gimnasia M. 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Velez Sarsfield 45% to win: they did.

  1. 32'Velez Sarsfield:Simón Escobar 1638 +16
  2. 45'Gimnasia M.:Nahuel Barboza 1445 −1 for Esteban Fernández 1703 0
  3. 58'Gimnasia M.:Fermin Antonini 1736 −2
  4. 60'Velez Sarsfield:Manuel Lanzini 1833 +22
  5. 70'Gimnasia M.:Blas Armoa Nunez 1600 0 for Luciano César Cingolani 1600 0
  6. 70'Gimnasia M.:Santiago Rodríguez 1565 −1 for Matías Vargas 2032 −8
  7. 79'Velez Sarsfield:Thiago Aguirre 1625 +2 for Juan Cruz Policella 1618 +17
  8. 79'Velez Sarsfield:Diego Valdés 1810 −1 for Simón Escobar 1638 +16
  9. 82'Gimnasia M.:Luciano Paredes 1653 0
  10. 82'Gimnasia M.:Martín Úbeda 1383 0 for Fermin Antonini 1736 −2
  11. 85'Velez Sarsfield:Thiago Silvero 1830 +30 assist Lucas Robertone 1839 +26
  12. 87'Velez Sarsfield:Claudio Baeza 1791 −12* for Manuel Lanzini 1833 +22
  13. 88'Gimnasia M.:I. Charparin 1538 −8* for Diego Mondino 1752 −3
  14. 90'Velez Sarsfield:Thiago Aguirre 1625 +2
  15. 90+3'Velez Sarsfield:Joaquin Garcia 1944 +6
  16. 90+4'Velez Sarsfield:Dilan Godoy 1655 0 for Ronaldo Martinez 1807 +9
  17. 90+4'Velez Sarsfield:Luca Feler 1576 0 for Lucas Robertone 1839 +26

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GC. Rigamonti1711−8
DL. Paredes16530
DD. Mondino1752−3
DE. Muñoz1733−8
DM. Recalde1743−2
MF. Antonini1736−2
ME. Fernández17030
MF. Lencioni17990
MM. Vargas2032−8
ML. Cingolani16000
FA. Módica17730
CD. Franco15410
Before kick-off: 45% · 29% · 26%(Velez Sarsfield · draw · Gimnasia M.)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Velez Sarsfield €819K, Gimnasia M. €805K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Velez Sarsfield

3rd in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16

  • 12 OctLLanus 1773
  • 5 OctDPlatense 1813
  • 21 SepWTigre 1824
  • 11 SepDNewells Old Boys 1803
  • 6 SepWEstudiantes L.P. 1790

Gimnasia M.

11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16

  • 12 OctWNewells Old Boys 1708
  • 5 OctLEstudiantes L.P. 1731
  • 19 SepDDeportivo Riestra 1637
  • 11 SepLDefensa Y Justicia 1657
  • 5 SepDBoca Juniors 1677

Season outlook

From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Velez Sarsfield28 /1634.61%30%0%6th
Gimnasia M.19 /1623.70%0%<1%22nd
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Profesional Argentina

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Elías Gómez
Elías Gómez

Velez Sarsfield · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1885

D. Mondino
D. Mondino

Gimnasia M. · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1756

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Guillermo Barros Schelotto

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Darío Javier Franco Gatti

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Velez Sarsfield: balanced profile (how Guillermo Barros Schelotto plays) · Gimnasia M.: balanced profile (how Darío Javier Franco Gatti plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.