1. Division · Regular Season - 15
Vejle vs HB Koge
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Vejle Stadion, Vejle
Vejle host HB Koge on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vejle 64%, draw 22%, HB Koge 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vejle €300K, HB Koge €160K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Division matchday 15: 277 points.
- N. Larsen, J. Karlsson, L. Nielsen, C. Sørensen, L. Hetemi, T. Bach, M. Duelund, L. From, W. Faghir and M. Vestergård (Vejle) have not played for over 90 days.
- M. Westergren, F. Isaki and S. Hald (HB Koge) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vejle goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Vejle 1554 · HB Koge 1277
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vejle · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1608
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vejle
2nd in 1. Division · 27 pts from 14
- 17 MayWOdense Denmark Superliga1517
- 10 MayWFC Fredericia Denmark Superliga1460
- 3 MayLRanders FC Denmark Superliga1502
- 27 AprLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1516
- 22 AprLSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1544
HB Koge
11th in 1. Division · 12 pts from 14
- 29 AugDAalborg Denmark 1. Division1263
- 6 AprWAarhus Fremad Denmark 1. Division1233
- 13 MarLB 93 Denmark 1. Division1247
- 6 MarLEsbjerg Denmark 1. Division1259
- 23 NovDAarhus Fremad Denmark 1. Division1232
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vejle | 27 /14 | 41.0 | 36% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| HB Koge | 12 /14 | 20.6 | 0% | <1% | 81% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –