Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 24
Vasteras SK FK 1–0 Mjallby AIF
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Hitachi Energy Arena, Westeros
Vasteras SK FKTeam 1602
Mjallby AIFTeam 1542Match story
Vasteras SK FK · draw · Mjallby AIFBefore kick-off: 45% · 29% · 26%
Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Vasteras SK FK 45% to win: they did.
- 17'Jeppe Kjaer Jensen 1653 −7
Mjallby AIF:Jeppe Kjaer Jensen 1653 −7 - Axel Sountonoma Taonsa 1655 +19 assist Abdelrahman Saidi 1574 +2420'
Vasteras SK FK:Axel Sountonoma Taonsa 1655 +19 assist Abdelrahman Saidi 1574 +24 - Abdelrahman Saidi 1574 +2435'
Vasteras SK FK:Abdelrahman Saidi 1574 +24 - 35'Tony Miettinen 1664 −8
Mjallby AIF:Tony Miettinen 1664 −8 - 45'Áki Samuelsen 1550 0 for Olle Lindberg 1426 0
Mjallby AIF:Áki Samuelsen 1550 0 for Olle Lindberg 1426 0 - Frédéric Nsabiyumva 1504 +14 for Jack Tagesson 1503 +1845'
Vasteras SK FK:Frédéric Nsabiyumva 1504 +14 for Jack Tagesson 1503 +18 - 56'Mads Enggard 1564 0 for Abdullah Iqbal 1694 −6
Mjallby AIF:Mads Enggard 1564 0 for Abdullah Iqbal 1694 −6 - 77'Ludvig Tidstrand 1300 0 for Max Nielsen 1305 0
Mjallby AIF:Ludvig Tidstrand 1300 0 for Max Nielsen 1305 0 - Jonathan Ring 1435 −4 for Mattias Hellisdal 1573 +978'
Vasteras SK FK:Jonathan Ring 1435 −4 for Mattias Hellisdal 1573 +9 - karl gunnarsson 1590 +1 for Abdelrahman Saidi 1574 +2478'
Vasteras SK FK:karl gunnarsson 1590 +1 for Abdelrahman Saidi 1574 +24 - Peter Amoran 1472 −7* for Mamadou Diagne 1680 +1690+1'
Vasteras SK FK:Peter Amoran 1472 −7* for Mamadou Diagne 1680 +16
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 45% · 29% · 26%(Vasteras SK FK · draw · Mjallby AIF)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 11%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Vasteras SK FK €391K, Mjallby AIF €554K.
- Vasteras SK FK were without 1 expected starter: E. Jäger (1613).
- Home advantage made Vasteras SK FK the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Vasteras SK FK's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of Vasteras SK FK's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vasteras SK FK
8th in Allsvenskan · 35 pts from 23
- 9 OctLIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1593
- 19 SepWMalmo FF Allsvenskan1584
- 12 SepWAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1505
- 5 SepLSirius Allsvenskan1531
- 29 AugWBK Hacken Allsvenskan1478
Mjallby AIF
12th in Allsvenskan · 23 pts from 23
- 15 OctWInter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1601
- 10 OctDDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1591
- 20 SepLGais Allsvenskan1625
- 16 SepDAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1616
- 11 SepDBK Hacken Allsvenskan1617
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK | 35 /23 | 44.8 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7th |
| Mjallby AIF | 23 /23 | 32.3 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Vasteras SK FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1665

Mjallby AIF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1700
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vasteras SK FK: balanced profile (how Alexander Rubin plays) · Mjallby AIF: balanced profile (how Andreas Brännström plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.