Serie A · Regular Season - 35
Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional
Thu 19 Nov 2026 · 22:30 UTC · São Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Vasco DA Gama host Internacional on Thu 19 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vasco DA Gama 55%, draw 25%, Internacional 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vasco DA Gama €4.4M, Internacional €3.1M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Série A): Vasco DA Gama rank #19 of 20, Internacional #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vasco DA Gama goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Vasco DA Gama 1986 · Internacional 1905
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vasco DA Gama · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1969
Internacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1988
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vasco DA Gama
13th in Série A · 41 pts from 33
- 4 NovWAtletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A1989
- 1 NovLPalmeiras Brazil Copa do Brasil2006
- 29 OctLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1966
- 24 OctWCorinthians Brazil Serie A2006
- 21 OctLBoca Juniors Copa Sudamericana2006
Internacional
16th in Série A · 38 pts from 34
- 4 NovWCoritiba Brazil Serie A1896
- 28 OctLFluminense Brazil Serie A1896
- 24 OctWBotafogo Brazil Serie A1864
- 16 OctLMirassol Brazil Serie A1914
- 11 OctDGremio Brazil Serie A1894
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 41 /33 | 49.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 11th |
| Internacional | 38 /34 | 43.2 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vasco DA Gama: balanced profile (how Pedro Emanuel plays) · Internacional: balanced profile (how Eduardo Baptista plays)