NB I · Regular Season - 11
Vasas vs Paks
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
Vasas host Paks on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vasas 28%, draw 28%, Paks 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vasas €270K, Paks €323K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vasas goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Vasas 1455 · Paks 1576
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vasas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.7 (Good) · Elo 1543
Paks · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1527
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vasas
3rd in NB I · 15 pts from 10
- 16 OctLMTK Budapest NB I1407
- 10 OctDKisvarda FC NB I1468
- 19 SepWDebreceni VSC NB I1429
- 4 SepWNyiregyhaza NB I1341
- 29 AugLUjpest NB I1450
Paks
6th in NB I · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctLGyori ETO FC NB I1600
- 10 OctWMTK Budapest NB I1553
- 19 SepWKisvarda FC NB I1537
- 5 SepLDebreceni VSC NB I1554
- 29 AugDNyiregyhaza NB I1579
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | 15 /10 | 38.4 | 0% | 4% | 35% | 9th |
| Paks | 14 /10 | 44.8 | <1% | 20% | 8% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –