NB I · Regular Season - 9
Vasas 1–1 Kisvarda FC
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:45 UTC · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
VasasTeam 1411
Kisvarda FCTeam 1470Match story
Vasas · draw · Kisvarda FCBefore kick-off: 32% · 30% · 39%
Last reading, 90+4': 3% · 93% · 3%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Milan Tóth 61'
- Bence Bíró 86'
We gave Kisvarda FC 39% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Milan Tóth 1727 +161'
Vasas:Milan Tóth 1727 +1 - 64'Miroszláv Babják 1298 −8* for Gennadiy Szikszai 1333 −8*
Kisvarda FC:Miroszláv Babják 1298 −8* for Gennadiy Szikszai 1333 −8* - 64'Pascal Yadikaobi Okoronkwo 1303 −8* for Marko Matanovic 1524 −8*
Kisvarda FC:Pascal Yadikaobi Okoronkwo 1303 −8* for Marko Matanovic 1524 −8* - 64'Bence Bíró 1509 −9* for Christián Herc 1608 −9*
Kisvarda FC:Bence Bíró 1509 −9* for Christián Herc 1608 −9* - 71'Teslim Abdulateef Balogun 1347 −8* for Jasmin Mešanović 1455 −14*
Kisvarda FC:Teslim Abdulateef Balogun 1347 −8* for Jasmin Mešanović 1455 −14* - C. Molnár 1216 −7* for Márk Kovácsréti 1570 −7*72'
Vasas:C. Molnár 1216 −7* for Márk Kovácsréti 1570 −7* - C. Molnár 1216 −7*78'
Vasas:C. Molnár 1216 −7* - Bence Janos Petho 1150 −8* for Márk Koszta 1654 −9*78'
Vasas:Bence Janos Petho 1150 −8* for Márk Koszta 1654 −9* - 79'Amos Youga 1564 −13* for Hianga'a M'Bock 1538 −8*
Kisvarda FC:Amos Youga 1564 −13* for Hianga'a M'Bock 1538 −8* - Áron Doktorics 1313 −2*83'
Vasas:Áron Doktorics 1313 −2* - 86'Bence Bíró 1509 −9* assist Teslim Abdulateef Balogun 1347 −8*
Kisvarda FC:Bence Bíró 1509 −9* assist Teslim Abdulateef Balogun 1347 −8* - Botond Baráth 1253 −13* for Patrick Iyinbor 1543 −5*88'
Vasas:Botond Baráth 1253 −13* for Patrick Iyinbor 1543 −5* - Dominik Balazs Sztojka 1163 −7* for B. Rab 1206 −1*88'
Vasas:Dominik Balazs Sztojka 1163 −7* for B. Rab 1206 −1* - András Radó 1349 −12* for Milan Tóth 1727 +188'
Vasas:András Radó 1349 −12* for Milan Tóth 1727 +1
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 32% · 30% · 39%(Vasas · draw · Kisvarda FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Vasas €261K, Kisvarda FC €300K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vasas
3rd in NB I · 14 pts from 8
- 19 SepWDebreceni VSC NB I1429
- 4 SepWNyiregyhaza NB I1341
- 29 AugLUjpest NB I1450
- 27 MayDFehérvár FC NB I1279
- 19 MayLKisvarda FC NB I1318
Kisvarda FC
8th in NB I · 9 pts from 8
- 19 SepLPaks NB I1528
- 5 SepWMTK Budapest NB I1509
- 30 AugDGyori ETO FC NB I1517
- 23 AugDDebreceni VSC NB I1519
- 8 AugLUjpest NB I1504
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | 14 /8 | 41.2 | 0% | 11% | 21% | 8th |
| Kisvarda FC | 9 /8 | 37.8 | 0% | 4% | 42% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Vasas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1663
Kisvarda FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1607
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.