NB I · Regular Season - 13
Vasas vs Ferencvarosi TC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
Vasas host Ferencvarosi TC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vasas 11%, draw 18%, Ferencvarosi TC 72%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vasas €256K, Ferencvarosi TC €1.5M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of NB I matchday 13: 458 points.
- Draw chance 18%, below the NB I average of 26% this round.
- NB I: D. Dibusz is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1983).
- Ferencvarosi TC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vasas goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–29%
- 0–39%
- 1–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–38%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Vasas 1452 · Ferencvarosi TC 1910
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vasas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.7 (Good) · Elo 1543
Ferencvarosi TC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2057
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vasas
3rd in NB I · 15 pts from 10
- 16 OctLMTK Budapest NB I1407
- 10 OctDKisvarda FC NB I1468
- 19 SepWDebreceni VSC NB I1429
- 4 SepWNyiregyhaza NB I1341
- 29 AugLUjpest NB I1450
Ferencvarosi TC
5th in NB I · 14 pts from 9
- 22 OctWTorreense UEFA Europa League1867
- 18 OctDKisvarda FC NB I1903
- 15 OctWPlzen UEFA Europa League1932
- 10 OctDDebreceni VSC NB I1920
- 20 SepDNyiregyhaza NB I1906
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | 15 /10 | 38.0 | 0% | 3% | 36% | 9th |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 14 /9 | 66.8 | 79% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –