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1. Lig · Regular Season - 11

Vanspor FK 0–2 Ümraniyespor

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu, Akhisar

Vanspor FK crestVanspor FKTeam 1540
0–2
Full time
HT 0–0
Ümraniyespor crestÜmraniyesporTeam 1512

Match story

Vanspor FK · draw · Ümraniyespor

Before kick-off: 45% · 29% · 26%

Live chances: Vanspor FK 0%, draw 0%, Ümraniyespor 100% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 45%, draw 29%, Ümraniyespor 26%2' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 45%, draw 29%, Ümraniyespor 26%3' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 45%, draw 29%, Ümraniyespor 26%4' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 29%, Ümraniyespor 26%5' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 29%, Ümraniyespor 26%6' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%7' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%8' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%9' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%10' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%11' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 44%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%12' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 43%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%13' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 43%, draw 31%, Ümraniyespor 26%14' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 43%, draw 31%, Ümraniyespor 26%15' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 43%, draw 31%, Ümraniyespor 26%16' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 43%, draw 31%, Ümraniyespor 26%17' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 43%, draw 31%, Ümraniyespor 26%18' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 43%, draw 31%, Ümraniyespor 26%19' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 42%, draw 31%, Ümraniyespor 26%20' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 42%, draw 32%, Ümraniyespor 26%21' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 42%, draw 32%, Ümraniyespor 26%22' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 42%, draw 32%, Ümraniyespor 26%23' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 42%, draw 32%, Ümraniyespor 26%24' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 42%, draw 32%, Ümraniyespor 26%25' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 42%, draw 33%, Ümraniyespor 26%26' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 41%, draw 33%, Ümraniyespor 26%27' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 41%, draw 33%, Ümraniyespor 26%28' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 41%, draw 33%, Ümraniyespor 26%29' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 41%, draw 33%, Ümraniyespor 26%30' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 41%, draw 33%, Ümraniyespor 26%31' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 41%, draw 34%, Ümraniyespor 26%32' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 40%, draw 34%, Ümraniyespor 26%33' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 40%, draw 34%, Ümraniyespor 26%34' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 40%, draw 34%, Ümraniyespor 26%35' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 40%, draw 35%, Ümraniyespor 26%36' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 40%, draw 35%, Ümraniyespor 26%37' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 39%, draw 35%, Ümraniyespor 25%38' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 39%, draw 35%, Ümraniyespor 25%39' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 39%, draw 36%, Ümraniyespor 25%40' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 39%, draw 36%, Ümraniyespor 25%41' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 38%, draw 36%, Ümraniyespor 25%42' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 38%, draw 37%, Ümraniyespor 25%43' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 38%, draw 37%, Ümraniyespor 25%44' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 38%, draw 37%, Ümraniyespor 25%45' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 38%, draw 38%, Ümraniyespor 25%45+1' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 37%, draw 38%, Ümraniyespor 25%45+2' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 37%, draw 38%, Ümraniyespor 25%HT · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 37%, draw 39%, Ümraniyespor 25%47' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 36%, draw 39%, Ümraniyespor 24%48' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 36%, draw 40%, Ümraniyespor 24%49' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 36%, draw 40%, Ümraniyespor 24%50' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 35%, draw 40%, Ümraniyespor 24%51' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 35%, draw 41%, Ümraniyespor 24%52' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 35%, draw 41%, Ümraniyespor 24%53' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 34%, draw 42%, Ümraniyespor 24%54' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 34%, draw 43%, Ümraniyespor 23%55' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 34%, draw 43%, Ümraniyespor 23%56' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 33%, draw 44%, Ümraniyespor 23%57' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 33%, draw 44%, Ümraniyespor 23%58' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 32%, draw 45%, Ümraniyespor 23%59' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 32%, draw 46%, Ümraniyespor 22%60' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 31%, draw 46%, Ümraniyespor 22%61' · 0–0 · Vanspor FK 31%, draw 47%, Ümraniyespor 22%62' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 10%, draw 27%, Ümraniyespor 63%63' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 10%, draw 27%, Ümraniyespor 64%64' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 9%, draw 27%, Ümraniyespor 64%65' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 9%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 65%66' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 8%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 66%67' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 8%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 66%68' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 8%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 67%69' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 7%, draw 25%, Ümraniyespor 67%70' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 7%, draw 25%, Ümraniyespor 68%71' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 7%, draw 25%, Ümraniyespor 69%72' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 6%, draw 24%, Ümraniyespor 70%73' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 6%, draw 24%, Ümraniyespor 70%74' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 6%, draw 23%, Ümraniyespor 71%75' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 5%, draw 23%, Ümraniyespor 72%76' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 5%, draw 22%, Ümraniyespor 73%77' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 4%, draw 22%, Ümraniyespor 74%78' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 4%, draw 21%, Ümraniyespor 74%79' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 4%, draw 21%, Ümraniyespor 75%80' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 3%, draw 20%, Ümraniyespor 76%81' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 3%, draw 20%, Ümraniyespor 77%82' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 3%, draw 19%, Ümraniyespor 78%83' · 0–1 · Vanspor FK 3%, draw 18%, Ümraniyespor 79%84' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 2%, Ümraniyespor 98%85' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 1%, Ümraniyespor 98%86' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 1%, Ümraniyespor 99%87' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 1%, Ümraniyespor 99%88' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 1%, Ümraniyespor 99%89' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 1%, Ümraniyespor 99%90' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 1%, Ümraniyespor 99%90+2' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 0%, Ümraniyespor 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 0%, Ümraniyespor 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 0%, Ümraniyespor 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Vanspor FK 0%, draw 0%, Ümraniyespor 100%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Vanspor FK 45% to win: Ümraniyespor won.

  1. 28'Vanspor FK:Ozan Kokcu 1661 −8 for Jurgen Bardhi 1594 −2
  2. 45'Ümraniyespor:Alejandro Blanco 1673 +17 for Muhammet Tunahan Tasci 1603 +2*
  3. 56'Ümraniyespor:Berat Yılmaz 1207 +68 for Melih Bostan 1617 +3*
  4. 60'Ümraniyespor:Alejandro Blanco 1673 +17 assist Berat Yılmaz 1207 +68
  5. 61'Ümraniyespor:Santeri Hostikka 1622 +14 for Bengali-Fodé Koita 1476 +14
  6. 63'Vanspor FK:Jesse Khan 1304 0 for Özkan Yiğiter 1500 −1
  7. 64'Vanspor FK:Alvaro de Oliveira 1514 0 for İlkan Sever 1381 0
  8. 71'Ümraniyespor:Berat Yılmaz 1207 +68
  9. 75'Vanspor FK:Hikmet Çiftçi 1720 −4 for Mehmet Özcan 1647 −8
  10. 75'Vanspor FK:Muhammed Furkan Özhan 1448 0 for Mehmet Manis 1334 0
  11. 82'Ümraniyespor:Santeri Hostikka 1622 +14 assist Berat Yılmaz 1207 +68
  12. 84'Ümraniyespor:Toheeb Adeola Kosoko 1270 −4* for Cebio Soukou 1446 +40
  13. 84'Ümraniyespor:Kerem Sen 1568 +1 for Serkan Göksu 1539 +19
  14. 90'Ümraniyespor:Kerem Sen 1568 +1
  15. 90+2'Vanspor FK:Alvaro de Oliveira 1514 0
  16. 90+2'Ümraniyespor:Oguz Yildirim 1538 +23

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-3-3
GA. Uysal1610−5
DC. Hanalp1715−19
DS. Osmanoğlu1618−28
DN. Oularé1666−34
DF. Genç1604−10
MM. Maniş13340
MM. Özcan1647−8
MÖ. Yiğiter1500−1
FJ. Bardhi1594−2
Fİlkan Sever13810
FT. Yenne1618−5
CM. Gürsel1687−26
GC. Topaloğlu1637+50
DO. Yıldırım1538+23
DM. Kartal1596+67
DT. Glumac1597+57
DE. Gedik1661+14
MS. Göksu1539+19
MA. Đokanović1645+50
MT. Taşçı1603+2*
FF. Koita1476+14
FC. Soukou1446+40
FM. Bostan1617+3*
CT. Albayrak1391+89
Before kick-off: 45% · 29% · 26%(Vanspor FK · draw · Ümraniyespor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Vanspor FK €265K, Ümraniyespor €208K.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (1. Lig): Vanspor FK ranked #17 of 20, Ümraniyespor #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Vanspor FK

18th in 1. Lig · 7 pts from 10

  • 13 OctWPendikspor 1568
  • 9 OctLBandırmaspor 1613
  • 20 SepLAntalyaspor 1540
  • 12 SepDKeçiörengücü 1542
  • 6 SepDMuğlaspor 1529

Ümraniyespor

17th in 1. Lig · 7 pts from 9

  • 9 OctDSarıyer 1518
  • 18 SepWBandırmaspor 1506
  • 12 SepLAntalyaspor 1510
  • 5 SepLPendikspor 1561
  • 28 AugDKeçiörengücü 1521

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Vanspor FK7 /1042.70%<1%25%17th
Ümraniyespor7 /937.80%<1%53%19th
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Osmanoğlu
S. Osmanoğlu

Vanspor FK · +0.1 (Average) · Elo 1646

O. Yıldırım
O. Yıldırım

Ümraniyespor · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1515

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mustafa Gürsel

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Tayfun Rıdvan Albayrak

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Vanspor FK: balanced profile (how Mustafa Gürsel plays) · Ümraniyespor: balanced profile (how Tayfun Rıdvan Albayrak plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.