1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Spor Toto Akhisar Stadium, Akhisar
Vanspor FK host Sivasspor on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vanspor FK 39%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vanspor FK €249K, Sivasspor €343K.
- Home advantage makes Vanspor FK the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Sivasspor are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vanspor FK goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Vanspor FK 1593 · Sivasspor 1647
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vanspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.1 (Average) · Elo 1618
Sivasspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1815
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vanspor FK
18th in 1. Lig · 7 pts from 11
- 18 OctLÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1581
- 13 OctWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1568
- 9 OctLBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1613
- 20 SepLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1540
- 12 SepDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1542
Sivasspor
12th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1578
- 13 OctDBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1584
- 9 OctWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1588
- 19 SepDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1591
- 13 SepDMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1661
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK | 7 /11 | 40.4 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 18th |
| Sivasspor | 13 /11 | 50.3 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vanspor FK: balanced profile (how Mustafa Gürsel plays) · Sivasspor: balanced profile (how İsmet Taşdemir plays)