1. Lig · Regular Season - 9
Vanspor FK 0–2 Bandırmaspor
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu, Akhisar
Vanspor FKTeam 1568BandırmasporTeam 1564We gave Vanspor FK 44% to win: Bandırmaspor won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%(Vanspor FK · draw · Bandırmaspor)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Vanspor FK €318K, Bandırmaspor €222K.
- Home advantage made Vanspor FK the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vanspor FK
19th in 1. Lig · 4 pts from 8
- 20 SepLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1540
- 12 SepDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1542
- 6 SepDMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1529
- 2 SepLBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1554
- 29 AugDMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1544
Bandırmaspor
11th in 1. Lig · 10 pts from 8
- 18 SepLÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1645
- 11 SepDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1648
- 5 SepWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1622
- 28 AugDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1626
- 8 AugWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1609
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK | 4 /8 | 37.4 | 0% | <1% | 61% | 19th |
| Bandırmaspor | 10 /8 | 47.9 | 0% | 3% | 8% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vanspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1753
Bandırmaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1612
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vanspor FK: balanced profile (how Cevdet Göç plays) · Bandırmaspor: balanced profile (how Ertugrul Arslan plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.