Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC · BC Place
Vancouver Whitecaps host Seattle Sounders on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vancouver Whitecaps 48%, draw 27%, Seattle Sounders 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vancouver Whitecaps €3.5M, Seattle Sounders €2.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vancouver Whitecaps goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Vancouver Whitecaps 1965 · Seattle Sounders 1922
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vancouver Whitecaps · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2114
Seattle Sounders · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2031
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vancouver Whitecaps
1st in MLS · 55 pts from 30
- 18 OctWAustin MLS1980
- 15 OctDSt. Louis City MLS2007
- 11 OctDLos Angeles FC MLS2003
- 7 OctLChicago Fire MLS1956
- 27 SepDDC United MLS1954
Seattle Sounders
7th in MLS · 42 pts from 30
- 18 OctDCF Montreal MLS1925
- 15 OctLFC Dallas MLS1913
- 10 OctWNew England Revolution MLS1927
- 2 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1907
- 27 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1889
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 55 /30 | 61.3 | 0% | 92% | 0% | 2nd |
| Seattle Sounders | 42 /30 | 47.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vancouver Whitecaps: balanced profile (how Jesper Ingemann Sørensen plays) · Seattle Sounders: balanced profile (how Brian Thomas Schmetzer plays)