Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · BC Place, Vancouver
Vancouver Whitecaps host San Diego on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Vancouver Whitecaps 50%, draw 27%, San Diego 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Vancouver Whitecaps €3.5M, San Diego €2.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Vancouver Whitecaps goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Vancouver Whitecaps 1965 · San Diego 1898
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Vancouver Whitecaps · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2114
San Diego · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1974
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Vancouver Whitecaps
1st in MLS · 55 pts from 30
- 18 OctWAustin MLS1980
- 15 OctDSt. Louis City MLS2007
- 11 OctDLos Angeles FC MLS2003
- 7 OctLChicago Fire MLS1956
- 27 SepDDC United MLS1954
San Diego
12th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 18 OctDLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1849
- 15 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1900
- 10 OctLNew York Red Bulls MLS1904
- 27 SepDAustin MLS1893
- 14 SepLPhiladelphia Union MLS1890
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 55 /30 | 61.3 | 0% | 92% | 0% | 2nd |
| San Diego | 34 /30 | 39.4 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Vancouver Whitecaps: balanced profile (how Jesper Ingemann Sørensen plays) · San Diego: possession-based (how Michael Anthony Varas plays)