Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Van vs Ararat-Armenia
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan
Van host Ararat-Armenia on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Van 20%, draw 25%, Ararat-Armenia 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Van €98K, Ararat-Armenia €266K.
- P. Avetisyan, T. Voskanyan, Danylo Polonskyi, V. Makhsudyan and V. Minasyan (Van) have not played for over 90 days.
- M. Ayvazyan (Ararat-Armenia) has not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Van goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–29%
- 1–36%
- 2–26%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Van 1203 · Ararat-Armenia 1516
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ararat-Armenia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1644
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Van
8th in Premier League · 11 pts from 13
- 29 AugLShirak Armenia Premier League1139
- 2 MayWGandzasar Armenia Premier League1223
- 20 MarDArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1227
- 16 MarLArarat-Armenia Armenia Premier League1232
- 7 MarLArarat Armenia Premier League1198
Ararat-Armenia
3rd in Premier League · 29 pts from 12
- 5 NovLTorreense UEFA Europa League1606
- 22 OctLAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League1599
- 15 OctLJagiellonia UEFA Europa League1587
- 16 SepLSparta Praha UEFA Europa League1590
- 27 AugWUniversitatea Craiova UEFA Europa League1562
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van | 11 /13 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 43% | 9th |
| Ararat-Armenia | 29 /12 | 66.3 | 11% | 99% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –