Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Valletta FC host Hamrun Spartans on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Valletta FC 37%, draw 29%, Hamrun Spartans 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Valletta FC €183K, Hamrun Spartans €276K.
- Home advantage makes Valletta FC the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Premier League: H. Bonello is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1568).
- S. Borg, J. Azzopardi and Y. Yankam (Valletta FC) have not played for over 90 days.
- M. García, D. Bulevardi and M. El Fanis (Hamrun Spartans) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Valletta FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Valletta FC 1393 · Hamrun Spartans 1449
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Valletta FC from last season's line-ups (latest 14 March 2026); Hamrun Spartans from last season's line-ups (latest 15 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hamrun Spartans · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1544
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Valletta FC
1st in Premier League · 19 pts from 8
- 30 JulLRaków Częstochowa UEFA Conference League1432
- 23 JulLRaków Częstochowa UEFA Conference League1397
- 14 MarDMarsaxlokk Malta Premier League1414
- 8 MarWTarxien Rainbows Malta Premier League1396
- 28 FebDHibernians Malta Premier League1403
Hamrun Spartans
5th in Premier League · 12 pts from 8
- 29 AugDFloriana Malta Premier League1477
- 16 JulLNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1444
- 9 JulDNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1439
- 15 MarLMosta Malta Premier League1522
- 8 MarWBirkirkara Malta Premier League1440
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valletta FC | 19 /8 | 22.9 | 65% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Hamrun Spartans | 12 /8 | 16.7 | 1% | 42% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –