Segunda División · Regular Season - 12
Valladolid vs Leganes
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Valladolid host Leganes on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Valladolid 41%, draw 29%, Leganes 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Valladolid €970K, Leganes €1.2M.
- Home advantage makes Valladolid the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Valladolid goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Valladolid 1731 · Leganes 1781
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Valladolid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1810
Leganes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1852
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Valladolid
12th in Segunda División · 12 pts from 10
- 18 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1719
- 12 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1706
- 4 OctDLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1716
- 27 SepWCordoba Spain Segunda Division1646
- 20 SepDAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1681
Leganes
17th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 10
- 16 OctLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1787
- 11 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1801
- 3 OctLCadiz Spain Segunda Division1841
- 28 SepLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1838
- 20 SepWGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1799
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 12 /10 | 53.1 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 13th |
| Leganes | 11 /10 | 57.2 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Valladolid: balanced profile (how Francisco Escriba Segura plays) · Leganes: balanced profile (how Rubén Albés Yáñez plays)