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Segunda División · Regular Season - 10

Valladolid 2–3 Eldense

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid

Valladolid crestValladolidTeam 1704
2–3
Full time
HT 1–2
Eldense crestEldenseTeam 1577

Match story

Valladolid · draw · Eldense

Before kick-off: 55% · 25% · 20%

Live chances: Valladolid 0%, draw 2%, Eldense 98% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Valladolid 55%, draw 25%, Eldense 20%3' · 0–0 · Valladolid 55%, draw 26%, Eldense 20%4' · 0–0 · Valladolid 55%, draw 26%, Eldense 20%5' · 0–0 · Valladolid 54%, draw 26%, Eldense 20%6' · 0–0 · Valladolid 54%, draw 26%, Eldense 20%7' · 0–0 · Valladolid 54%, draw 26%, Eldense 20%8' · 0–0 · Valladolid 54%, draw 26%, Eldense 20%9' · 0–0 · Valladolid 54%, draw 26%, Eldense 20%10' · 0–0 · Valladolid 54%, draw 27%, Eldense 20%11' · 0–0 · Valladolid 53%, draw 27%, Eldense 20%12' · 0–0 · Valladolid 53%, draw 27%, Eldense 20%13' · 0–0 · Valladolid 53%, draw 27%, Eldense 20%14' · 0–0 · Valladolid 53%, draw 27%, Eldense 20%15' · 0–0 · Valladolid 53%, draw 27%, Eldense 20%16' · 0–0 · Valladolid 52%, draw 27%, Eldense 20%17' · 0–0 · Valladolid 52%, draw 28%, Eldense 20%18' · 0–0 · Valladolid 52%, draw 28%, Eldense 20%19' · 0–0 · Valladolid 52%, draw 28%, Eldense 20%20' · 0–0 · Valladolid 52%, draw 28%, Eldense 20%21' · 0–0 · Valladolid 51%, draw 28%, Eldense 20%22' · 0–0 · Valladolid 51%, draw 28%, Eldense 20%23' · 0–0 · Valladolid 51%, draw 29%, Eldense 20%24' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 16%, Eldense 7%25' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 16%, Eldense 7%26' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 16%, Eldense 6%27' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 16%, Eldense 6%28' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 16%, Eldense 6%30' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 16%, Eldense 6%31' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 16%, Eldense 6%32' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%33' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%34' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%35' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%36' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%37' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%38' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%39' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%40' · 1–0 · Valladolid 77%, draw 17%, Eldense 6%41' · 1–1 · Valladolid 46%, draw 33%, Eldense 21%42' · 1–1 · Valladolid 46%, draw 33%, Eldense 21%43' · 1–1 · Valladolid 46%, draw 34%, Eldense 21%44' · 1–1 · Valladolid 46%, draw 34%, Eldense 20%45' · 1–1 · Valladolid 45%, draw 34%, Eldense 20%45+1' · 1–2 · Valladolid 23%, draw 30%, Eldense 47%45+2' · 1–2 · Valladolid 23%, draw 30%, Eldense 47%45+3' · 1–2 · Valladolid 22%, draw 30%, Eldense 48%45+4' · 1–2 · Valladolid 22%, draw 30%, Eldense 48%HT · 1–2 · Valladolid 22%, draw 30%, Eldense 48%46' · 1–2 · Valladolid 22%, draw 30%, Eldense 48%47' · 1–2 · Valladolid 22%, draw 30%, Eldense 48%48' · 1–2 · Valladolid 21%, draw 30%, Eldense 49%49' · 1–2 · Valladolid 21%, draw 30%, Eldense 49%50' · 1–2 · Valladolid 20%, draw 30%, Eldense 50%51' · 1–2 · Valladolid 20%, draw 30%, Eldense 50%52' · 1–2 · Valladolid 19%, draw 30%, Eldense 51%53' · 1–2 · Valladolid 19%, draw 30%, Eldense 52%54' · 1–2 · Valladolid 18%, draw 30%, Eldense 52%55' · 1–2 · Valladolid 17%, draw 30%, Eldense 53%56' · 1–2 · Valladolid 17%, draw 30%, Eldense 53%57' · 1–2 · Valladolid 16%, draw 30%, Eldense 54%58' · 1–2 · Valladolid 16%, draw 30%, Eldense 55%59' · 1–2 · Valladolid 15%, draw 30%, Eldense 55%60' · 1–2 · Valladolid 15%, draw 29%, Eldense 56%61' · 1–2 · Valladolid 14%, draw 29%, Eldense 57%62' · 1–2 · Valladolid 14%, draw 29%, Eldense 57%63' · 1–2 · Valladolid 13%, draw 29%, Eldense 58%64' · 1–2 · Valladolid 13%, draw 29%, Eldense 58%65' · 1–2 · Valladolid 12%, draw 29%, Eldense 59%66' · 1–2 · Valladolid 12%, draw 29%, Eldense 60%67' · 1–2 · Valladolid 11%, draw 28%, Eldense 61%68' · 1–2 · Valladolid 11%, draw 28%, Eldense 61%69' · 1–2 · Valladolid 10%, draw 28%, Eldense 62%70' · 1–2 · Valladolid 10%, draw 27%, Eldense 63%71' · 1–2 · Valladolid 9%, draw 27%, Eldense 64%72' · 1–2 · Valladolid 9%, draw 27%, Eldense 65%73' · 1–2 · Valladolid 4%, draw 19%, Eldense 77%74' · 1–2 · Valladolid 4%, draw 19%, Eldense 77%75' · 1–2 · Valladolid 3%, draw 19%, Eldense 78%76' · 1–2 · Valladolid 3%, draw 18%, Eldense 79%77' · 1–2 · Valladolid 3%, draw 18%, Eldense 79%78' · 1–2 · Valladolid 3%, draw 17%, Eldense 80%79' · 1–2 · Valladolid 2%, draw 17%, Eldense 81%80' · 1–2 · Valladolid 2%, draw 16%, Eldense 81%81' · 1–2 · Valladolid 2%, draw 16%, Eldense 82%82' · 1–2 · Valladolid 2%, draw 15%, Eldense 83%83' · 1–2 · Valladolid 2%, draw 15%, Eldense 84%84' · 2–2 · Valladolid 13%, draw 70%, Eldense 17%85' · 2–2 · Valladolid 12%, draw 72%, Eldense 16%86' · 2–2 · Valladolid 12%, draw 73%, Eldense 15%87' · 2–2 · Valladolid 11%, draw 75%, Eldense 14%88' · 2–2 · Valladolid 10%, draw 77%, Eldense 13%89' · 2–2 · Valladolid 9%, draw 79%, Eldense 12%90' · 2–2 · Valladolid 8%, draw 82%, Eldense 10%90+1' · 2–2 · Valladolid 7%, draw 84%, Eldense 9%90+2' · 2–2 · Valladolid 6%, draw 87%, Eldense 8%90+3' · 2–2 · Valladolid 5%, draw 89%, Eldense 6%90+4' · 2–2 · Valladolid 3%, draw 92%, Eldense 4%90+5' · 2–3 · Valladolid 0%, draw 2%, Eldense 98%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Valladolid 55% to win: Eldense won.

  1. 23'Valladolid:Adrian Arnu 1617 0 assist Julien Ponceau 1810 −12
  2. 30'Valladolid:Victor Barbera 1612 0 for Juan Miguel Latasa 1801 −4
  3. 34'Eldense:Fidel 1643 +13
  4. 41'Eldense:Jorge Rastrojo 1408 +104 assist Javi Martínez 1803 +28
  5. 45+1'Eldense:Aingeru Olabarrieta 1775 +44 assist Ramón Vila Rovira 1594 +97
  6. 45+5'Valladolid:Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda 1762 −6
  7. 45+5'Eldense:Justin Smith 1681 +16
  8. 57'Valladolid:Víctor Fernández 1607 0
  9. 62'Eldense:Jorge Rastrojo 1408 +104
  10. 64'Eldense:Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo 1284 +40* for Jorge Rastrojo 1408 +104
  11. 64'Eldense:Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo 1084 +24 for Justin Smith 1681 +16
  12. 66'Valladolid:Iván Alejo 1789 −6 for Álvaro Pérez Campo 1389 −8*
  13. 66'Valladolid:Tay Abed 1621 −8* for Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda 1762 −6
  14. 72'Valladolid:Víctor Fernández 1607 0
  15. 73'Eldense:Jorge Martin Camunas 1483 +7 for Javi Martínez 1803 +28
  16. 76'Valladolid:Kaj de Rooij 1693 0 for Julien Ponceau 1810 −12
  17. 76'Valladolid:Robin van Duiven 1632 −8* for Adrian Arnu 1617 0
  18. 78'Eldense:Juan Larios López 1667 +65
  19. 81'Eldense:Iker Recio Ortega 1692 +2 for Juan Larios López 1667 +65
  20. 81'Eldense:Manuel Nieto 1741 +1 for Fidel 1643 +13
  21. 82'Valladolid:Iván Alejo 1789 −6
  22. 83'Valladolid:Victor Barbera 1612 0 assist Tay Abed 1621 −8*
  23. 90+5'Eldense:Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo 1284 +40* assist Aingeru Olabarrieta 1775 +44

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-3-2Formations4-2-3-1
GÁlvaro Aceves1765−9
DTrilli1389−8*
DPablo Tomeo1836−17
DDavid Torres1808−14
DIván Garriel16120
MS. Jurić1790−14
MT. Ojeda1762−6
MVíctor Fernández16070
MJ. Ponceau1810−12
FJuanmi Latasa1801−4
FAdrian Arnuncio16170
CFran Escribá1753−15
GRamón Vila1594+97
DJesús Clemente1545+36
DAlex Serradell1472+43
DF. Smand1793+13
DJuan Larios1667+65
MJ. Smith1681+16
MCarlos Guirao1705+21
MFidel1643+13
MJavi Martínez1803+28
MAingeru Olabarrieta1775+44
FJorge Rastrojo1408+104
CJavi Calleja1794+25
Before kick-off: 55% · 25% · 20%(Valladolid · draw · Eldense)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–3 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Valladolid €956K, Eldense €570K.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Segunda División): Valladolid ranked #1 of 24, Eldense #24.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Valladolid

11th in Segunda División · 12 pts from 9

  • 12 OctWAlbacete 1706
  • 4 OctDLas Palmas 1716
  • 27 SepWCordoba 1646
  • 20 SepDAD Ceuta FC 1681
  • 13 SepLOviedo 1665

Eldense

15th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 9

  • 10 OctWCordoba 1586
  • 2 OctWOviedo 1570
  • 27 SepLBurgos 1532
  • 19 SepLEibar 1584
  • 13 SepWSporting Gijon 1506

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Valladolid12 /956.4<1%2%3%11th
Eldense11 /945.60%<1%33%20th
Valladolid
Eldense

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Ponceau
J. Ponceau

Valladolid · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1821

F. Smand
F. Smand

Eldense · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1780

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Fran Escriba

Coach DNA: –

Javier Calleja Revilla

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Valladolid: balanced profile (how Fran Escriba plays) · Eldense: direct · low-block (how Javier Calleja Revilla plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.