Segunda División · Regular Season - 9
Valladolid 5–0 Albacete
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid
ValladolidTeam 1681AlbaceteTeam 1639Match story
Valladolid · draw · AlbaceteBefore kick-off: 47% · 29% · 24%
Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Julien Ponceau 14'
- David Torres 22'
- Adrian Arnu 31', 54'
- Juan Miguel Latasa 36'
We gave Valladolid 47% to win: they did.
- 14'Agustin Albarracin Basil 1277 0 for Fran Gámez 1684 −7Albacete:Agustin Albarracin Basil 1277 0 for Fran Gámez 1684 −7
- Julien Ponceau 1821 +29 assist Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda 1769 +3114'Valladolid:Julien Ponceau 1821 +29 assist Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda 1769 +31
- David Torres 1822 +40 assist Víctor Fernández 1607 +6322'Valladolid:David Torres 1822 +40 assist Víctor Fernández 1607 +63
- 30'Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 1827 −17Albacete:Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 1827 −17
- Adrian Arnu 1617 +55 assist Julien Ponceau 1821 +2931'Valladolid:Adrian Arnu 1617 +55 assist Julien Ponceau 1821 +29
- Juan Miguel Latasa 1805 +42 assist Iván Garriel 1612 +6236'Valladolid:Juan Miguel Latasa 1805 +42 assist Iván Garriel 1612 +62
- 40'Agustin Albarracin Basil 1277 0Albacete:Agustin Albarracin Basil 1277 0
- 43'José Corpas 1729 −15Albacete:José Corpas 1729 −15
- Adrian Arnu 1617 +55 assist Víctor Fernández 1607 +6354'Valladolid:Adrian Arnu 1617 +55 assist Víctor Fernández 1607 +63
- 59'Sergio Ortuno Diaz 1631 −8* for Víctor San Bartolomé 1484 −1Albacete:Sergio Ortuno Diaz 1631 −8* for Víctor San Bartolomé 1484 −1
- 59'Álex Rubio Roldán 1156 0 for Roberto Gonzalez Bayon 1724 −4Albacete:Álex Rubio Roldán 1156 0 for Roberto Gonzalez Bayon 1724 −4
- Mathis Lachuer 1763 +5 for Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda 1769 +3161'Valladolid:Mathis Lachuer 1763 +5 for Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda 1769 +31
- 63'Sergio Ortuno Diaz 1631 −8*Albacete:Sergio Ortuno Diaz 1631 −8*
- Kaj de Rooij 1693 +5 for Julien Ponceau 1821 +2968'Valladolid:Kaj de Rooij 1693 +5 for Julien Ponceau 1821 +29
- Victor Barbera 1612 +17 for Adrian Arnu 1617 +5568'Valladolid:Victor Barbera 1612 +17 for Adrian Arnu 1617 +55
- Homam Al-Amin 1897 −4* for Iván Garriel 1612 +6274'Valladolid:Homam Al-Amin 1897 −4* for Iván Garriel 1612 +62
- Yeray Cabanzón 1612 +11 for Víctor Fernández 1607 +6375'Valladolid:Yeray Cabanzón 1612 +11 for Víctor Fernández 1607 +63
- Iván Alejo 1795 +4077'Valladolid:Iván Alejo 1795 +40
- 78'Dani Bernabéu 1609 −8* for Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 1827 −17Albacete:Dani Bernabéu 1609 −8* for Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 1827 −17
- 78'Javi Villar 1795 −10* for Victor Valverde da Silva 1364 0Albacete:Javi Villar 1795 −10* for Victor Valverde da Silva 1364 0
- Kaj de Rooij 1693 +583'Valladolid:Kaj de Rooij 1693 +5
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 47% · 29% · 24%(Valladolid · draw · Albacete)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 5–0 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Valladolid €934K, Albacete €662K.
- Home advantage made Valladolid the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Segunda División): Valladolid ranked #1 of 24, Albacete #21.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Valladolid
17th in Segunda División · 9 pts from 8
- 4 OctDLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1716
- 27 SepWCordoba Spain Segunda Division1646
- 20 SepDAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1681
- 13 SepLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1665
- 5 SepWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1663
Albacete
22nd in Segunda División · 1 pts from 8
- 3 OctLEibar Spain Segunda Division1703
- 25 SepLGirona Spain Segunda Division1684
- 18 SepLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1722
- 12 SepDGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1726
- 6 SepLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1783
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 9 /8 | 53.1 | 0% | 1% | 9% | 13th |
| Albacete | 1 /8 | 45.0 | 0% | <1% | 37% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Valladolid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1793
Albacete · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1691
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Valladolid: balanced profile (how Francisco Escriba Segura plays) · Albacete: direct (how Alberto Gonzalez plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.