Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25
Valerenga vs Tromso
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Intility Arena, Oslo
Valerenga host Tromso on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Valerenga 29%, draw 29%, Tromso 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Valerenga €472K, Tromso €805K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Valerenga goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Valerenga 1572 · Tromso 1674
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Valerenga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1548
Tromso · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1754
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Valerenga
11th in Eliteserien · 26 pts from 23
- 18 OctWBrann Eliteserien1529
- 12 OctLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1545
- 20 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1552
- 12 SepLLillestrom Eliteserien1565
- 6 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1571
Tromso
4th in Eliteserien · 40 pts from 23
- 18 OctDKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1690
- 11 OctDFredrikstad Eliteserien1697
- 20 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1684
- 12 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1641
- 6 SepLKristiansund BK Eliteserien1708
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerenga | 26 /23 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 12th |
| Tromso | 40 /23 | 48.9 | 0% | 48% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Valerenga: balanced profile (how Johannes Moesgaard plays) · Tromso: balanced profile (how Jørgen Vik plays)