Eliteserien · Regular Season - 27
Valerenga vs Start
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Intility Arena, Oslo
Valerenga host Start on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Valerenga 51%, draw 27%, Start 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Valerenga €518K, Start €357K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Valerenga goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 2–07%
- 2–27%
- 1–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores52%
Team Elo: Valerenga 1624 · Start 1481
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Valerenga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1626
Start · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1535
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Valerenga
8th in Eliteserien · 32 pts from 26
- 9 NovLKristiansund BK Eliteserien1625
- 1 NovWTromso Eliteserien1620
- 24 OctWBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1568
- 18 OctWBrann Eliteserien1523
- 12 OctLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1539
Start
16th in Eliteserien · 19 pts from 26
- 7 NovLRosenborg Eliteserien1481
- 1 NovLLillestrom Eliteserien1511
- 25 OctWSandefjord Eliteserien1479
- 18 OctLMolde Eliteserien1451
- 11 OctLHam-Kam Eliteserien1493
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerenga | 32 /26 | 36.9 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 8th |
| Start | 19 /26 | 23.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Valerenga: balanced profile (how Johannes Moesgaard plays) · Start: balanced profile (how Azar Karadas plays)