La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
ValenciaTeam 1995
Athletic ClubTeam 2099Match story
Valencia · draw · Athletic ClubBefore kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%
Last reading, 90+4': 4% · 92% · 4%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Valencia 36% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Daniel Raba Antolín 1756 −319'
Valencia:Daniel Raba Antolín 1756 −3 - 38'Aymeric Laporte 2458 −2
Athletic Club:Aymeric Laporte 2458 −2 - 42'Beñat Gerenabarrena 1963 −6*
Athletic Club:Beñat Gerenabarrena 1963 −6* - 45'Mikel Jauregizar 2181 −7* for Beñat Gerenabarrena 1963 −6*
Athletic Club:Mikel Jauregizar 2181 −7* for Beñat Gerenabarrena 1963 −6* - David Otorbi Ejededawe 1546 0 for Hugo Duro 2067 054'
Valencia:David Otorbi Ejededawe 1546 0 for Hugo Duro 2067 0 - Luis Rioja 2081 −12* for Daniel Raba Antolín 1756 −354'
Valencia:Luis Rioja 2081 −12* for Daniel Raba Antolín 1756 −3 - 57'Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta 2149 −11*
Athletic Club:Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta 2149 −11* - 63'Gorka Guruzeta 2142 −9* for Iñaki Williams 2148 −11*
Athletic Club:Gorka Guruzeta 2142 −9* for Iñaki Williams 2148 −11* - 63'Alejandro Rego Mora 2035 −7* for Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta 2149 −11*
Athletic Club:Alejandro Rego Mora 2035 −7* for Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta 2149 −11* - 63'Jesus Areso 2217 −8* for Johaneko Louis-Jean 1429 −1*
Athletic Club:Jesus Areso 2217 −8* for Johaneko Louis-Jean 1429 −1* - 68'Maroan Sannadi 1375 −7* for Gorka Guruzeta 2142 −9*
Athletic Club:Maroan Sannadi 1375 −7* for Gorka Guruzeta 2142 −9* - Harvey Elliott 2334 0 for Justin De Haas 1977 074'
Valencia:Harvey Elliott 2334 0 for Justin De Haas 1977 0 - Jesús Vázquez 1992 −8* for José Gayà 2077 −385'
Valencia:Jesús Vázquez 1992 −8* for José Gayà 2077 −3 - Filip Ugrinic 2081 −1 for Guido Rodríguez 2104 −486'
Valencia:Filip Ugrinic 2081 −1 for Guido Rodríguez 2104 −4 - José Luis García Vayá 2049 −187'
Valencia:José Luis García Vayá 2049 −1 - César Tárrega Requeni 2090 −8*90'
Valencia:César Tárrega Requeni 2090 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%(Valencia · draw · Athletic Club)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Valencia €4.9M, Athletic Club €8.4M.
- Athletic Club were without 2 expected starters: Oihan Sancet (2286) and Nico Williams (2330).
- Draw chance was 29%, above the La Liga average of 23% this round.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Valencia
19th in La Liga · 5 pts from 8
- 11 OctDRacing Santander La Liga2054
- 20 SepLReal Sociedad La Liga2009
- 15 SepWAlaves La Liga1977
- 11 SepLSevilla La Liga1914
- 6 SepLBarcelona La Liga1981
Athletic Club
10th in La Liga · 8 pts from 6
- 19 SepDAlaves La Liga2183
- 12 SepDElche La Liga2226
- 5 SepWAtletico Madrid La Liga2186
- 30 AugWCelta Vigo La Liga2140
- 27 AugLBarcelona La Liga2113
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 5 /8 | 41.0 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 13th |
| Athletic Club | 8 /6 | 58.4 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Valencia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2108

Athletic Club · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2460
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Valencia: balanced profile (how Javier Aguirre Onaindía plays) · Athletic Club: balanced profile (how Edin Terzić plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.