Liga I · Regular Season - 16
Uta Arad vs Universitatea Craiova
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Arena Francisc Neuman, Arad
Uta Arad host Universitatea Craiova on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Uta Arad 17%, draw 23%, Universitatea Craiova 60%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Uta Arad €326K, Universitatea Craiova €1.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Liga I matchday 16: 308 points.
- Liga I: L. Popescu is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1940).
- Universitatea Craiova's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 over 180 days.
- Universitatea Craiova are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Uta Arad goals first.
- 0–113%
- 0–212%
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–08%
- 0–37%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Uta Arad 1539 · Universitatea Craiova 1847
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Uta Arad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1545
Universitatea Craiova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 1996
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Uta Arad
10th in Liga I · 18 pts from 15
- 6 NovLPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1544
- 1 NovLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1561
- 24 OctWArges Pitesti Liga I1548
- 18 OctWCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1520
- 10 OctLFC Botosani Liga I1523
Universitatea Craiova
1st in Liga I · 33 pts from 15
- 8 NovDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1882
- 5 NovWEgnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Conference League1882
- 1 NovWFC Botosani Liga I1900
- 26 OctWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1882
- 22 OctWInter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1860
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uta Arad | 18 /15 | 37.2 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 11th |
| Universitatea Craiova | 33 /15 | 63.8 | 70% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Uta Arad: balanced profile (how A. Mihalcea plays) · Universitatea Craiova: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Filipe Coelho plays)