Liga I · Regular Season - 15
Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Arena Francisc Neuman, Arad
Uta Arad host Petrolul Ploiesti on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Uta Arad 41%, draw 29%, Petrolul Ploiesti 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Uta Arad €353K, Petrolul Ploiesti €319K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Uta Arad goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Uta Arad 1550 · Petrolul Ploiesti 1505
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Uta Arad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1537
Petrolul Ploiesti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1621
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Uta Arad
10th in Liga I · 15 pts from 12
- 18 OctWCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1529
- 10 OctLFC Botosani Liga I1530
- 18 SepWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1536
- 11 SepLFarul Constanta Liga I1520
- 5 SepWCsikszereda Liga I1515
Petrolul Ploiesti
4th in Liga I · 20 pts from 12
- 17 OctDSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1557
- 11 OctLFarul Constanta Liga I1577
- 21 SepWCsikszereda Liga I1516
- 14 SepDFCSB Liga I1541
- 6 SepWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1514
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uta Arad | 15 /12 | 38.5 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 9th |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 20 /12 | 41.6 | <1% | 7% | 2% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Uta Arad: balanced profile (how A. Mihalcea plays) · Petrolul Ploiesti: balanced profile (how Ricardo Sousa plays)